NFL Week 5 (8-5 +2.4u/one pending)

NFL Week 5 (8-5 +2.4u/one pending) 420 Denver +3.5 -110 2 units -- 2 units is approximately 2 percent of bankroll for me and I rarely play above that in the NFL. Strong home field advantage again. NE is always dangerous, but statistically they are not the strongest of teams. I have Denver as the favorite here. I have one play pending (crappy SD) and will update upon its completion. One total coming once more shops open. As for plays, I probably will not have a lot this week. Some stuff I played at open is gone and I do not like a few spots this week though my numbers point to a few plays.

Updated record after SNF: 8-6 +1.3u Will try to post two totals tomorrow a.m.

417/418 Atl/SF Under 42.5 1.5 units

418 San Francisco -2.5 -110 1 unit

405/406 Wash/Car Under 37.5 1 unit -- Played this earlier in the week and now it came back, so maybe it's not good. Washington's offense has been conservative and non-productive. Maybe with a new offensive "consultant" they become more aggressive. Either way, I am leaning toward these teams being very conservative late if it is a tight game since both need the win. I have line value on Washington as a side, but I think a rested and focused Carolina may tear them apart. That said, I want no part of Carolina laying points. Looking to post one more total if number becomes WA. Number was there earlier in the week but I didn't get a chance to post it. Not much for sides this week. Tenn, at a great number and only at a great number, would be a play for me. On the dregs, my lines say St. Louis has some value, but no thanks. Good luck on that if you fade Minny late when the line steams up. I'm sure locals in my parts of the world will be dealing 11 or better close to tip. Philly laying 14 would also qualify as a play, but I have never had the stomach to lay double digits in the NFL and all the stars have to align for me to do that.