NFL Week 8 THREAD Picks

[QUOTE=anthony;47727]Just curious. What would you make tonight's MNF "official line"?[/QUOTE] Pretty much all I see is SD -3. Anywhere from -105 to -120. I think you could basically call it -3 -110. Pretty sure Fez gave out +4, which I did see but it was not there for long.

Anyone else?

[QUOTE=Twoniner;47726]This is correct. The issue is that the vast majority of Fezz' plays are made after he waits for market confirmation. So if he likes Dallas, he will wait for key books to start moving and then grab the Dallas +3.5 Which is pretty smart betting but makes for less than stellar ability to follow the plays. I agree though that the prices listed are on the aggressive side[/QUOTE] Exactly, I think that's the best way to do it and why Fezzik makes money for himself. It just doesn't do the followers very much good when the number is only available at Rogue outfits, esp. ones in Vegas. To be clear - I'm not accusing Fezz of lying. I'm sure he gets every number he posts and probably does better than a lot of what he posts, but it's entirely different when people are paying you to get the same numbers. [QUOTE=anthony;47729]Anyone else?[/QUOTE] Closed -3 (-02) at Pinny and -3 (-115) at CRIS. No one would ever complain about betting either side of a number that's available at one of those two shops.

This is not meant to be combative. I just want to make my point. What about that guy who layed 120? He's not gonna think a 110 grading is completely fair. I got +4/-05. No early calls or notices from Fez. I bet it when I saw it go up on the boards. This game is +4 to me, but it's not to you. Now what? We've been through this. The arguments never end and that's why we don't waste time with it. I know my number and I know how I got it. It's what each person can do with his own dilligence and selection of outs that's important.

[QUOTE=anthony;47733]This is not meant to be combative. I just want to make my point. What about that guy who layed 120? He's not gonna think a 110 grading is completely fair. I got +4/-05. No early calls or notices from Fez. I bet it when I saw it go up on the boards. This game is +4 to me, but it's not to you. Now what? We've been through this. The arguments never end and that's why we don't waste time with it. I know my number and I know how I got it. It's what each person can do with his own dilligence and selection of outs that's important.[/QUOTE] Not trying to be combative either, but no one has a right to complain if the number Fezzik posts is available at time of post at CRIS or Pinnacle, the two biggest books in the world. 5Dimes, who I would guess almost everyone plays with, basically clones Pinny so no excuse about people inside the U.S. not having access to them. Nice job getting the +4 -05 though, beat the market and the game is working out.

+4 was more than fair for a grade on last nights game when Fezz released. And this is coming from someone that thinks if the line isn't at CRIS or Pinnacle it likely isnt widely available.