NFL Week Four - First Loss System

NFL Week Four - First Loss System Both the Saints and Packers are big favorites this week and both lost their first game of the season last week. Since the start of the database in 1989, the league is 11-0 ATS when they are at least a TD favorite over a conference opponent and they are off a loss that dropped them to 2-1 on the season. The SDQL text is: [B] line

Yeah but isn't there a fairly well known trend with a much larger sample size that hits like 62% ATS for teams with win % under .200 playing on the road vs a team coming off a loss? Detroit and Carolina both fit that description Week 4.

[QUOTE=MattyVegas;29034]Yeah but isn't there a fairly well known trend with a much larger sample size that hits like 62% ATS for teams with win % under .200 playing on the road vs a team coming off a loss? Detroit and Carolina both fit that description Week 4.[/QUOTE] It's easy to check. Use this SDQL: [B]WP

2 conflicting trends here, good games to pass... Also, arguably the two worst teams in the NFL... you don't make money betting teams that will finish 3-13.