NFL Week6 plays

I guess it would depend how much of an edge a Fez 1 weight, 2 weight etc. was worth in expectation. Can anyone tell me what the percentage edge each weight yields? (assuming the bet is solely for value. ie. Fez is not betting a 10 weight with plans of buying back on the line move). Also, what would the maximum edge a sharp pick would yield? estimations anyone?
For what it's worth, he had 12 units on the Bills +3.5 on opening day and bought back six units on the Jets at post.
ATL 1q -3-100 1 unit.
ADD 49ers to win NFC +225 2 units. ONE GREAT BET IMO........

Atlanta playing terrible.
Atl is playing like da raiders but don't worry the real raiders will show up in the 2nd half
buying back any sd tongiht?
[QUOTE=nydoc;54290]buying back any sd tongiht?[/QUOTE] Is it not wise to teas SD from 1 to 7 with Car +8 next week for 1 unit if I can?
[QUOTE=Shish;54291]Is it not wise to teas SD from 1 to 7 with Car +8 next week for 1 unit if I can?[/QUOTE] I'd like to thank the entire forum for not responding to this! Wow. Haha.
sorry for the late response, SD +1 to +7 made complete sense............. Chance sometimes favors the unprepared