No longer bullish on Colts, will be putting in SAINTS props

No longer bullish on Colts, will be putting in SAINTS props I may post some Friday in fact. I have a huge bet on Indy-3-105 1h AND INDY -200 mL. Stuff happens. No longer like either.

[QUOTE=Fezzik;16386]I may post some Friday in fact. I have a huge bet on Indy-3-105 1h AND INDY -200 mL. Stuff happens. No longer like either.[/QUOTE] Wow! I thought I was as smart as Fezzik because I picked the same combination earlier this week. LOL. Now I have to really pay attention to what Fezzik has to say in the next few days.. :D

[QUOTE=Fezzik;16386]I may post some Friday in fact. I have a huge bet on Indy-3-105 1h AND INDY -200 mL. Stuff happens. No longer like either.[/QUOTE] WHy Fezz because of the injury or watching the money/line move or both?

I really liked the colts after the Championship games. However, I thought the line was to high and was looking for the correct play. After reading the forum it looked like the play was Colts money line. This may still be the play. However, I think the regular season game you have to look at is Colts VS Pats. Pats high powered offense was able to score at will IN Indi. The Colts were also able to score against a WEAK Pats defense. The Saints defense is better than the Pats and can pressure the QB. Yes, Peyton will complete passes against the blitz but the Saints will make him pay. They are going to hit him and hit him hard. Bodog has colts -190 and Saints +165. The Greek has Colts -220 Saints +180. The best side play may be no play at all.

I agree with the last sentence. Perhaps it is like Vikings/Saints. Sean Payton is not Bill Belichick. Both do things that seemingly look crazy, but only one is using math. Peyton doesn't need an experienced head coach. It will only take one mistake to decide the game, and I would expect the Saints to make that mistake.

[QUOTE=joelshitshow;16395]I agree with the last sentence. Perhaps it is like Vikings/Saints. Sean Payton is not Bill Belichick. Both do things that seemingly look crazy, but only one is using math. Peyton doesn't need an experienced head coach. It will only take one mistake to decide the game, and I would expect the Saints to make that mistake.[/QUOTE] Payton has had a couple headscratchers and may not be quite as good as Belichick (who also isn't perfect btw), but I would probably rank these coaches 1 and 2 in terms of sharp in game strategies. Peyton (Manning) might be #3, but maybe I'm not giving the Colts head coach enough credit.

Let me be sure I understand this "shift". If the move is to where Old School has been all along, I want to be sure I understand what's happening because I believe most of the followers of this board have been leaning toward the Colts in nearly every way possible with bets. I admire anyone who subscribes to the axiom that "when the facts change, I change my mind" and I guess we have to assume that that is what has happened? It's pretty clearly stated that "Stuff happens. No longer like either". Even though few of us will freely admit it, as followers, what now? Begin making crossover bets and eat the juice?

[QUOTE=grux;16392]I really liked the colts after the Championship games. However, I thought the line was to high and was looking for the correct play. After reading the forum it looked like the play was Colts money line. This may still be the play. However, I think the regular season game you have to look at is Colts VS Pats. Pats high powered offense was able to score at will IN Indi. The Colts were also able to score against a WEAK Pats defense. The Saints defense is better than the Pats and can pressure the QB. Yes, Peyton will complete passes against the blitz but the Saints will make him pay. They are going to hit him and hit him hard. Bodog has colts -190 and Saints +165. The Greek has Colts -220 Saints +180. The best side play may be no play at all.[/QUOTE] The Colts and Pats play each other regularly. Taking one game from a season to make generalizations of how this one will play out seems a little spotty to me.

To quote a famous Bill Clinton line: "It's the media (economy), stupid." That's the thought from some 'cappers in Vegas that I've heard about anyways. "The more the Peyton hype, the more the other Payton has to inspire his troops with." (The mighty underdog role.) It is a valid angle in my opinion. And, the more time that has gone by, along with all the varying opinions that you hear as well, it has to make one think, "am I so sure about my pick?" It's got to be an asset to have an open mind in the sports betting prognosticating world... With that said, if I'm sitting on a Colts' OL premium number of -3 -115, I'm letting it ride, with [I]maybe[/I] a partial hedge with New Orleans at +6 or >.

knew you would come to you're senses fair play for getting away from indy - would not touch them with a barge pole