Note on Indy/HOU

Note on Indy/HOU HOU-3 is a great bet as is the UN 46. The last month there have been whispers of Manning landing on the PUP list......BUT with 244 consecutive starts folks weren't really buying it. This am, Some Colts higher up tweeted, "Maybe if Manning cannot go, we should let the fans vote who should start......you do HAVE to plan for these sort of things". UHOH. Remember, LAST WEEK the market had gone to -2.9 on this game ALREADY......NO DOUBT some had good info. the Manning injury is bigger than reported. With the latest unclear and imperfect information, I'd say Mannning is close to 50/50 to go week1. If he goes he will NOT be 100% and HOU likely willl be -3-105ish. If he misses, HOU at -7 is cheap. We are freerolling playing HOU-3 and HOU un46. They key is that there is NO chance a healthy, top of his game Manning plays. We get a rusty injured Manning, OR we Paint the Fence in this game. Someone told me "don't overreacdt". WRONG!! In this case, "PANIC!!!!!"
Dang. Game is off the board at my outs.