Official FEzzik Week 1 NFL plays threads

Ok, not happy about it, but it's time to hit some overs.......... 453 Indy/Chic OV 41 2 weight 469 Atl/KC OV 41 -115 3 weight (we played UNDER earlier.....gutterball) 479 Cincy/Balt OV 40.5 3 weight (ditto)

Yes, still clearly etched in my memory ... now that Monte has had a couple seasons at college ball under his belt, hopefully things will get better and the tackling and covering on the corners will improve ... lots of scoring this year on the USC schedule for sure.

Week 1 GOY. Bet 457 Bills +3.5 10 weight. 100% Widely Available. Screen is painted 3.5. ONE GREAT BET. I think the bettors will be cutting in line to take +3 on game day. CHUNK BET THIS ONE, and we figure out later what to do as far as playback. OF COURSE, I know it opened 6. IRRELEVANT, as it is CLOSING 2.

Agreed it's been the most obvious bet on the board for a while when you can just look and determine if you think Jets will be better than the Bills and judge off the 3. Neither is looking great, but Jets are looking horrible in preseason. As far as betting goes. I'm not sure 10 weighting is possible (even if you can play back) with all the futures that have been bet along with other plays. But I definitely get the idea

Can this post be attributed to it being OTB?

Looks like trending down has begun ... according to line board on this site Jets are: Wm Hill -3', rest are mostly 3's with +/- juice ... LVH -3 +100, Coasts -3 -120 Just took BUF his evening for +3' -110 at my out ........ Joel, where is it OTB?

Why a 10 weight? Because ABSENT A METEORITE STRIKING Buff's QB, this one close LESS than 3. We likely play back Jets at post, and maybe have 12 or so units on the Bills winning, and toss back 6 losing units on Jets -2 at post......

At the time of my post it was OTB at all my outs.

Did anyone note the SEA/ARZ opener now SEA -2' from +1' in LV? Offshores haven't responded yet as only CRIS is -3 +105. Some PK or 1 either way. Fezz indicated it would go this way but a 4 point swing is quite large ... ARZ has QB problems with Kolb and Skelton it appear, SEA's Flynn and Wilson the opposite

SEA is looking very, very good. How good was our Buf +3.5 bet? Good enough, that these Bills losers can get PUNKED 38-7 AND WE STILL WILL HAVE NO PROBLEM DUMPING IT OFF PROFITABLY! However, this was a really bad game for our chances at a great middle. Line likely comes 3, and stays there when the limits go up........then they take the Bills on game day +3, Closes Jets -3-100, Bills +3 -120 We MIGHT see some square sharps betting JEts -3 tonite/tomorrow........