Ok, What we learn from Cincy/Dallas line move Basic strategy 101 here.
The 'good story'. Bengals playing in home state. What's this?? Dallas has a game 4days later! THis has to be a big negative.
The right way to have bet this: Play Cincy when the line opened at pk'm or close to it, recognizing the scheduling quirk clearly favored Cincy.
The wrong way to bet this. Play Cincy at -3, the zenith of the line move. Further, you know the crooked sports services all out there were all lining up on the 'good story' and with the line clearly headed to at least -2.75, giving out Cincy with the good story in a small 'only game in town' situation was likely to send Lemmings over the cliff. At post, Dallas +3+100 was a good bet, but not nearly as good IMO as Cincy pk'm......at least based on the info. we had at kickoff.
I've seen this before however. When EVERYONE is on a Conf. USA game, the line move can be right before and after the line move. BUT........when EVERYONE is on an NFL line move on a singleton nationally televised game.........you FADE the move at post.
