Parlay advice I've got a local that thinks he's big time. He's been around for a while taking $50 and $100 bets from people that just bet the favorite and the home team. He stopped by my shop today with some parlay cards. Some of the lines are stale and he doesn't know enough to change them or cancel them. He thinks I'm a mark, so he was basically trolling for my business.
Even though parlays are normally a bad bet, if you are taking 4 or 5 teams and keying a line that is off 3 or 4 points with the possibility of getting paid 20-1, does that make the parlay worth it?
I'm thinking this....I take a 5 team college card using favorable lines for $50 every week and the same with a pro card. When I've lost $1500 or so, I up it to $100. Eventually, I hit and get my money back and drop back to $50. Of course, this is based on me having an advantage that a couple lines are going to be off by a field goal or more and a couple of others may be off by a point or two. I don't need to retire on his money. Just make a couple thousand every year or so till he kicks the bucket or I do.
Is this realistic?
