Pierce was one heckuva bet I didn't even see the whole game but I saw that one series where he ran 3 times himself for a 1st down. That was a great play. I saw some info from ESPN Sports and Information that indicated that Caldwell since becoming OC had been running a far higher percentage on 1st down than with Cameron. He had played well too. That was a good spot.
Sorry for the guys who went down on Rice under. That was a harder one to determine and required more "theories" on how the game would play out to likely be correct as opposed to a mispricing.
I did bet the OT. I think that is one that we have an advantage on but nobody really has a risk utility curve that makes these bets worthwhile IMO. I vote that the books need to make this deal even better. But it got there.
And how about my reading between the lines and LOSING? Yes, I took FrankB's analysis on Over 3.5 rushers and how he would pass go over 4 (over 3.5 or nothing) and interpreted to mean "It sounds like under 4.5 rushers is a lock". How about 5 rushers and Flacco didn't get one carry? It looks like I would have won too if Koch didn't give up a safety? We both could have won. 3 rushers with 1 carry. (Tucker was a carrier too to complete this unique development.)
I thnk the FrankB play on CK throwing a pick was gold. You know alot of this game played out exactly as expected I felt. (I mean if you were betting on who would make that INT you probably would have bet ER) San Francisco's pass D went south several weeks ago. One theory is that using a limited bench meant their guys were just worn out. They gave up a tonne of pass plays the past several weeks and they were playing a team that loves the long pass. The JJ TD on the long pass was ridiculous.
Aldon Smith didn't get a sack either. That was several games in a row he was ineffective really. The only bargains I had on the were on the 49ers but I flattened out by being on the Ravens.
That 3 scores in a row bet same team really looks good now too especially when they score....I count that high right now.
I'll even throw one in for myself. I posted LY that the penalties would go under. Boger's average wasn't as low as Perry's was and he doesn't have the same reputation for a tight game but he even called fewer penalties than LY. I saw that at 13.5 the number of penalties. One has to assume the NFL has a directive to the officials that nobody wants to see a game decided by penalties. The players are likely told that as well. I think if they keep posting penalties at where the referee's average or overall NFL average is for penalties I would think this will be a good bet next year too.
