Prof Meyer's Week 6 NFL Totals Play All trends and systems quoted here can be verified on-line with the Sports Data Query Language (SDQL).
Seattle at Chicago OVER 37’ – These two met last season in week three. The Bears won 25-19 as a 2’-point road favorite. The Seahawks have previous season revenge here and they are 6-0 OU when seeking previous-season revenge vs a non-divisional opponent in which they scored fewer than 24 points, going over by an average of 10.2 ppg. In last season’s active date, they lost 48-10 in Green Bay.
In their last game, the Seahawks had an excellent chance to take the lead in the NFC West. They were 2-1 and facing St Louis. They were embarrassed by a score of 20-3 to drop to 2-2 on the season. The Seahawks have responded to offensive ineptness with high scoring games. Seattle is 8-0 OU when they are off a game in which they score 3 or fewer points, going over by an average of 10.6 ppg. In their last active date, they lost 38-17 in Dallas.
Turning our attention to the Bears, we find that they are off a 23-6 win over the Panthers with the total at 33. The win got them to 3-2 and helped erase the memory of their embarrassing performance vs the Giants the week before. The situation here indicates the OVER. The Bears are 13-0 OU after playing any game in which the total was less than 37 points, going over by an average of 9.6 ppg. In addition, Chicago is 8-0 OU (+11.9 ppg) as a home favorite when they were up by at least a TD at the half and won by double-digits last week, 6-0 OU (+13.5 ppg) as a favorite the week after a win in which they converted less than 33% of their 3rd downs and 6-0 OU (+9.9 ppg) when on a 1 game SU and ATS winning streak.
Chicago loves to play aggressively on offense as a significant favorite off a win. The Bears are 10-0 OU as a favorite of more than six points when they won their last game, flying over by an average of 14.8 ppg. Check it out with this SDQL text:
[B]
team=Bears and line=2006[/B]
With Jay Cutler back this week, we thought we would get getting something like a 41’ here, but we’re getting the lowest number on the board this week. Let’s grab the line value and go over this number.
MTi’s FORECAST: CHICAGO 28 Seattle 20
As always, comments welcome.
Prof Meyer
