Prof Meyer's Week 7 Total

Prof Meyer's Week 7 Total All trends and systems quoted here can be verified on-line with the Sports Data Query Language (SDQL) [B]Washington at Chicago UNDER 40[/B] -- In the Redskins’ three wins this season, the final scores were 13-7, 17-12 and 16-13. In their three losses, the scores were 27-30, 16-30 and 24-27. The pattern is obvious; every one of their losses went over by at least a touchdown and every one of their losses stayed under by at least two touchdowns. If the Redskins want to win here, they should have a goal of holding the Bears to 17 points or fewer. The Bears’ best side of the ball is their defense and they will feature that. Cutler has been beat up mercilessly in his last two games and the Bears should keep him out of harm’s way by rushing the ball most of the time. Chicago is 0-17 OU when they are off a loss in which they had less than 27 minutes of possession time and suffered at least four sacks, staying under by an average of 9.6 ppg. Check out the long string of UNDERS yourself with this SDQL text: team=Bears and tpo:sacks>=4 and p:L and p:TOP=1998 The Bears have consistently played conservative football when they are off a loss as facing a team this are suppose to beat. Chicago is 0-7 OU (-10.6 ppg) when they are off a loss and facing team with fewer wins on the season. The Redskins are off a loss to the Colts that dropped them to 3-3 on the season and this points to the UNDER, as they are 0-6 OU (-11.2 ppg) as a dog when they are 500 after a straight up loss.

More specifically, the league as a whole is 0-9 OU since mid-1991 when they are off a loss as a 3+ dog that dropped them to 3-3 on the season, staying under by an average of 11.6 ppg. Last season’s lone active data was the Colts’ 18-14 win over the 49ers with the OU line at 45. Shanahan should wait for the Bears’ offense to make the first mistake here and that should keep it under this number, the highest total in any of the five Bears – Redskins games this century. Grab the line value with the UNDER. MTi’s FORECAST: Washington 17 CHICAGO 16 As always, comments welcome. Prof Meyer