Rams Repeat Post

Rams Repeat Post Why Don't NFL Teams Hire Pro Gamblers toHelp Them? -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- For those who missed it, the Rams trailed by 3 with :07 seconds left and had the ball on the Jax 7. They had a time-out left. The coach decided to kick a field goal. Mind boggling bad decision. They literally went from being around pk'm to win, to being +155 based on that terrible decision. I cannot emphasize enough how stupid that decision was. Even without a time-out it is a poor decision. How long is 7 seconds? Ask Sam Wyche of the Bengals, who, 20 years ago, with a 4th down on his 25 with :06 seconds left chose not to punt vs. the 49ers, but ran a sweep. Four game seconds later, Jerry Rice was in the game ready to catch a game winning 25 yard pass. What is mind numbing is that if the Rams had gone for it, the Jaguars almost certainly would have been unaware (like all NFL teams except for maybe the Pats) that the correct defense to run in that situation is a PREVENT ANYTHING defense. Namely, the defense should be instructed to literally manhandle/tackle every receiver at the line of scrimmage. Meanwhile the QB run around with no one to throw to, 6 seconds get run off, flags fly, and 5 yards for defensive holding (or even personal fouls-unsportsmanlike conduct) later, the offense has time for only 1 play and must then kick the fg. An example of this occurred just last night at the end of the half when the Bears allowed a 10 yard TD pass to Atlanta with 9 seconds left. Inexusable. Note this true prevent defense also works well when their are 30 or less seconds left and the offense has 60+ yards to go. Just tackle everyone, get flagged 3 times and the offense is left with 1 play to throw a Hail Mary only. If the Bears had employed this strategy JUST LAST YEAR at the end of the game vs. these same Falcons they would have won that game......instead they gave up a long Matt Ryan sideline pass and a long game losing fg. And don't even get me started on why the Bungles couldn't figure this out week1 vs. Denver.....or figure out they needed to tell their fastest defensive player to stay back as a safety at all costs behind all other players. Seriously, with what all these coaches are paying players, how can they not have a decision making expert? Further, the media and announcers are often dumber than the coaches, they criticize every aggressive play call, and miss how bad it it to do things like punt on 4th and 4 from the opponents 38 (Yes Atlanta did this last night late in the game, almsot costing theh the game). Further, the media DOES seem to correctly point out poor decisions made late in the game by black quarterbacks (I see aol has a lead article today ripping on poor McNabb), but they give NFL coaches free passes left and right. That Rams decision should have been front page DonK Fest material..........yet what coverage does it get? ............Crickets
I've been calling for this for years. A guy in charge of clock management,2 pt attempts, 4th down decisions. Just a guy to put in the coach's ear to help inform him of decisions. NFL coaches work on a pretty short playclock and they usually have to make these kind of decisions VERY quickly, and their gut instinct is to ALWAYS avoid possible disaster at all costs. New York Times had an article recently on "quality control coaches" in NFL, and at first I thought someone had figured it out... but sadly it was about guys hustling to get coffee and color coding playbooks.
Regarding fourth down decisions in the middle, or even in their own part of the field in the middle of the game, it's pretty well-documented by now that NFL coaches need to be far more aggressive on these fourth down plays, however, I think the fan-base, the media, and the scared-to-lose the game mentally take over. The amount of 2nd guessing and uproar that would take place might cost the coach his job before he had a chance to explain what he was trying to do. These people would never understand anyway. They're too busy looking for something to step on. Another thing I don't understand is why do teams tackle players in the last minute or so, especially if they can't stop the clock, so they can let some kicker make a chip-shot field goal (98% probability) with two seconds left (or 0 seconds), when they could let them walk into the end zone (they don't have to make it overly obvious), and get the ball back with 45 seconds to play, down by 7 or even 8. By letting the player score, you from a 1% chance to win to around an 8% chance to win(envelope math, sorry). You don't have to be a rocket scientist to know that 80 yards in 45 seconds to tie is better than 2 seconds with 80 yards to win. Lastly, why did the Raiders, on first down, run a sweep, yes, a hand-off to a running back who was then running all over the field with the rock with 1:55 seconds left when Philadelphia was out of time-outs. Oh, that's right-they're the Raiders. When Cable was pulling his coach's head out of the file cabinet, he should have grabbed some of the papers on clock management for himself. Kneel-down you stupid fuck! Less that two minutes on first down under two minutes and 0 time outs for the other team means you don't have to run another offensive play.
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A Long And Good Read On A Guy That Is Always In Belichicks Ear Bill Belichick has a vitually unknow guy on his staff by the name of Ernie Adams who helps with all situations. Coaches are crazy not to have a similar type coach. Long read but very interesting. PHOENIX -- You don't notice Ernie Adams at first, but he's always there in his own peculiar way. Walking the halls in the Patriots' complex, lost in his own thoughts, he will often ignore co-workers. In meetings, he has been known to fall asleep. After practice, he is almost always the first person Bill Belichick consults. On game day, he's in the press box with a headset on, running numbers, computing percentages and, some around the league insinuate, overseeing more insidious operations. Courtesy of Phillips Academy Ernie Adams' title is director of football research, but don't expect to see a job description . When Belichick is taking those lonely walks up and down the sideline, his head bowed as if in prayer, you can bet it's Ernie Adams yapping away in Belichick's ear. Some call him the smartest man they've ever met. A longtime NFL watcher compares him to "Q," James Bond's master of espionage and gadgetry. Author David Halberstam called him "Belichick's Belichick." No other team has anyone like him on its payroll. And yet, save for football insiders, he is virtually unknown. In an era of media oversaturation, there is exactly one more picture of Bigfoot on The Associated Press photo wire (two) than there is of Adams (one). And it's of the back of his head. So here, in the ballroom of the Phoenix Convention Center, just six days before New England will attempt to complete a perfect season that Adams played a significant role in creating, I want to know what the almost-perfect Patriots think about their secret weapon: a guy with thick glasses and the sartorial sensibility of Mister Rogers; a guy who lived with his mother until she died three years ago. Who, exactly, is Ernie Adams? "I don't know what his job title is," linebacker Adalius Thomas says. "I didn't even know his last name was Adams." "Ernie is a bit of a mystery to all of us," offensive tackle Matt Light says. "I'm not sure what Ernie does, but I'm sure whatever it is, he's good at it." Finally, I approach receiver Wes Welker. "I'm writing a story about Ernie Adams," I tell him. "Who?" he says. "The guy who's always with Belichick who doesn't ever really talk." "Oh," he says, recognition washing over his face. "Ernie." He thinks for a second. "He's got to be a genius," he says, "because he looks like one." Courtesy of Phillips Academy, copyright John Hurley 2005 Adams looks -- and thinks -- like an investment banker, but he owns three Super Bowl rings. THE JOB This brings us to the million-dollar question: Behind the quirks and the strange attire and the random attacks of sleep, what is it that Ernie Adams, you know, does? Years ago, Modell offered $10,000 to anyone who could tell him. No one could. A few years back, during a team film session, the Patriots players put up a slide of Adams. The caption read: "What does this man do?" Everyone cracked up. But no one knew. In the broadest definition, Adams seems to be a man who loves to be in the background of greatness. Many things have his fingerprints on them, such as the game plan that engineered the upset of the Rams in Super Bowl XXXVI. Yes, Adams and Belichick figured out how to neutralize Marshall Faulk on the plane ride to New Orleans. Adams is involved in a lot of surprising things; he's a kind of "Forrest Gump" of sporting success. Like, say, the best-selling book "Friday Night Lights," which documented high school football, and later became a movie and a television show. That's right. "I'm indebted to him because he really turned me on to Odessa, Texas," says author Buzz Bissinger, who went to Andover with Adams and Belichick. Adams' contributions to the Patriots begin with film. Hours and hours of film, often in his darkened office. He has been doing this for years, first at Northwestern in the early 1970s, where he convinced coaches to let him go from student-manager to scout. "He was a prodigy," says Rick Venturi, an assistant on that Wildcats team. By now, after years of evolution, Adams sees film differently. Not just as random actions, but a genealogy of the game of football. When a defender moves, he recalls watching or having read about the first time a defender moved like that, even if it was 50 years ago, and he knows why, which tells him how to counteract the move. He has a photographic memory. Perkins tells a story of Adams' memorizing the Giants' thick playbook. In one night. So, every week, the Patriots get the kind of analysis that only high-powered hedge funds or, say, NASA can afford. "Nine times out of 10," Bissinger says, "Ernie sees something nobody else sees." That memory and those hours of studying film make him an unparalleled resource for assistant coaches. Want to know what a team does, and why? Want to know what a team has done on third-and-short in the red zone in the past 10 years on the road? Ask Adams. He'll know. Adams' reach doesn't stop there. The Patriots are famous for compartmentalizing: The scouts can't watch practice, the game planners don't know who they are going to draft, and so on. But Adams is into everything. During the draft, according to Michael Holley's "Patriot Reign," he's in charge of running through the team's value chart, figuring out who will best fit their needs. This is the perfect assignment for someone who spent several years in the late 1980s as an analyst and trader on Wall Street and, as an investor, is known for spotting profitable trends shockingly early. Pats owner Robert Kraft, a successful businessman in his own right, discusses economics with Adams. Belichick jokes that he wishes Adams would manage his portfolio. And the roots of the Patriots' insistence on value, and not letting emotion get in the way of sound investments, sound like they might have sprung from the mind of one Ernie Adams. "Warren Buffett and Ernie are actually somewhat similar," Carlisle says. "I have met Warren Buffet. Warren is one of these people who is phenomenally rigorous in his analysis. If there was someone you might associate with Ernie, it is someone who is [also] slightly asocial." Adams' official title is director of football research, and he does a lot of that, too, trolling the world for things that might offer the slightest advantage. A year or two ago, an Andover teammate ran across an obscure out-of-print book on nonlinear mathematics. He thought Adams might find a use for it, so he mailed it to him. Adams had already read it. Or there's Rutgers statistics professor Harold Sackrowitz, who got a call from Adams a few years back. Adams wanted to talk about some research Sackrowitz had just completed, dealing with how teams try two-point conversions far too often. Adams sent the professor the Patriots' when-to-go-for-two chart, and asked Sackrowitz to tear it apart. Of the 32 NFL teams, the statistician told the New York Times, only the Patriots called. Here's another example: The academic paper of a Berkeley researcher, referenced in the same Times story, dealt with how teams punt on fourth down far too often. That paper ended up on Belichick's desk. Now, how do you imagine it got there? On game day, Adams wears a headset in the press box, a direct line to Belichick. Adams advises Belichick on which plays to challenge, and charts trends. "The one thing the Patriots do better than anyone else is they adjust and make halftime adjustments," Sturges says. "Ernie Adams is the guy who does that." Are there other game-day duties? While it is commonly accepted that most teams try to steal signals, and New England was actually caught in the well-publicized Spygate incident, one former Patriots insider said a videotape of signals wouldn't help the other 31 teams nearly as much because they wouldn't have Ernie Adams there to quickly analyze and process the information. And, if any of this happens to be true, Adams' love of military history suggests he might see deciphering signals as just part of winning a battle. Friends say he is wildly competitive. "Behind the exterior of a guy who lived with his mother," Bissinger says, "he is a guy who is really savage about winning games." LINK TO FULL ARTICLE https://sports.espn.go.com/espn/eticket/story?page=adams
What a great article. Thanks, grux.
I can't wait for the 1st time, everyone is mauled late in the game and 10 flags get thrown. Can't wait - you know somebody is going to try it sooner or later.
That was an outstanding post!!!!! I luv this group!!!! Youse guys are way smarter'n me.....but I'm luvin the learnin!!!
[QUOTE=Justin1820;6402]I can't wait for the 1st time, everyone is mauled late in the game and 10 flags get thrown. Can't wait - you know somebody is going to try it sooner or later.[/QUOTE] im not sure, these guys are so concerned with their jobs they shat themselves at the thought of some outside of the box thinking
To add to this post the Ravens leave there young kicker Haushka on the left hash mark instead of centering there kicker or putting him over on the right hash. As always the kicker pulls the ball just a little to miss the kick. It was good to see the kicker say he blew it when actually it was the coach for not thinking ahead.