nfl has been pretty bad for the books this year. the favorites havent been hitting at an outrageous rate this year as in years past, but alot of public dogs have cashed early this year on top of the general favorite trend. in other words, the publicly perceived 'right side' has been hitting at a very high clip. i would estimate something in or around 60%.
as for this particular weekend.. a pure disaster for books for a number of reasons. the big name public favs all hit... the over, or the high as mr. stu feiner would say, just about all hit in tandem with those teams. parlays obv cashed in abundance. as fzk mentioned the pleasers, where offered, were an utter disaster....
it boils down to this. the guy who sits on the pot with his sunday morning paper and scratches out a 6, 7 maybe 8 teamer (why not?) is on top of the world through 2009 nfl week 7. those guys, in masse, are typically the bread and butter for all bookmakers. not this year. there will be some very nice values to be had for the nfl contrarian bettor over the coming weeks. enjoy.