New Orleans Saints (ML) (-125) over New England Patriots*
*Please be advised that this is a money line investment. The Saints are a 5* investment at -150 odds or better.
Undefeated NFL teams from Game Six out are 12-0 SU and 9-3 ATS on Monday Night since 1997, including 6-0 ATS when playing with revenge. Moreover, the Saints are 6-1 ATS in this series and 6-1 SU and 7-0 ATS versus AFC competition since last season. Let's also note that New Orleans is a remarkable 10-1 off a road game, 8-1 off consecutive wins, 16-1 as favorites, 10-2 at home and 13-3 on artificial turf over the last two seasons, whereas the Patriots are a money-burning 0-5 following a win over a division opponent.
Invest on - Favorites (New Orleans) - off a win against a division rival, when playing on Monday night.
(47-18 since 1983; 72.3%)
This system is 5-1 ATS since 2004, 10-3 ATS since 2000, 28-8 ATS since 1997 and 47-18 ATS since 1983. This system is 53-12 SU (82%) since 1983.
New Orleans takes the field with an unstoppable offense that is averaging 36.9 points per game this season, including 4.8 yards per rush attempt, 8.3 yards per pass attempt (68.1% completion rate) and 6.5 yards per play against teams that combine to allow just 24.1 points per game, 6.7 yards per pass play and 5.6 yards per play to mediocre offensive squads. At home, New Orleans is averaging an incredible 9.3 yards per pass play (72% completion rate), 6.7 yards per play and 12.1 yards per point, which is not surprising in light of the fact that the Saints have not been held to less than 24 points in theitr first ten games in 2009, while eclipsing the 40-point plateau four times. On defense, the Saints are finally getting healthy as they should have two significant starters back in the lineup for tonight's game, including cornerback Jabari Greer and defensive tackle Sedrick Ellis (both listed as probable on the team's injury report.
As for special teams, which is all too often overlooked by handicappers, New Orleans maintains a key advantage as the Saints are averaging 26.9 yards per kick return, including 32.7 yards per kick return over the last three weeks. Meanwhile, New England is allowing a terrible 24.2 yards per kick return this season, including 25.8 yards per kick return over the last three weeks (to teams that combine to average just 23.8 yards per kick return). Finally, New Orleans' head coach Sean Payton knows how to prepare for an explosive offensive team like the Patriots as evidenced by the fact that he is a perfect 5-0 versus teams averaging 27+ points per game.
Take the Saints on the money line and invest with confidence.
Rating: 5*
