SB thoughts

SB thoughts GB is slightly more likely to receive the opening kickoff. GB should come out throwing to Jennings and others, Pit should run unsuccessfully early I peasonally bet stuff like GB 1st to score, Rodgers vs. Roth 1q-1 passes, Jennings Pass caught before Wallaces, ditto for 1st half. I also Bet Pit 2nd half +1/2. PLayers I like I bet: MIller OV 37 Jordey Nelson OV 3-130 Players I faded Randall EL UN 1 caught Kuhn UN 6 yards RUNNING Wallace UN 70 yards Wards UN 43 yards I bet the Mastay the PUnter OV 54.5 longest punt, balls should carry great in D vs. the frozen tundras up North. TOUGH game. GB should have the superior early game plan, but Pit has the experience. I can see GB getting the lead and hanging on for dear life. If I book lets you, 1h UN 22.5 AND no score 1st 6:45 IF you can bet AFTER pit is confirmed to get the ball! Some books will let you bet this!

[QUOTE=Fezzik;38812]TOUGH game. GB should have the superior early game plan, but Pit has the experience. I can see GB getting the lead and hanging on for dear life. [/QUOTE] Pretty amazing call!! Wish I would have taken advantage of it. D'oh!!

fez, a lot of us took your advice on GB -pts. Thank you! i thought CalSport was right about the OVER so, i stayed off the OV/UNDER. keep up the great work!...maybe a little too much second-guessing yourself/"risk management"?

Help [QUOTE=lonewolf;39135]fez, a lot of us took your advice on GB -pts. Thank you!QUOTE] Just curious how you knew to stay on the GB play when game day Fezz said he was playing the middle and that Pitt +3 -109 was the preferred play?? Are you good or just lucky?? PLease share your strategy. Thanks.

[QUOTE=bkeiller;39136][QUOTE=lonewolf;39135]fez, a lot of us took your advice on GB -pts. Thank you!QUOTE] Just curious how you knew to stay on the GB play when game day Fezz said he was playing the middle and that Pitt +3 -109 was the preferred play?? Are you good or just lucky?? PLease share your strategy. Thanks.[/QUOTE] Yea, clearly Fez thought on Sunday Pit+3 was the right side. But for the Pick 6 and the 2 other turnovers, Pit seemed like it was the right side that lost. Missed FG too. Should have pushed at worst. That said, Fez was advising Pit+3 on Sunday and it lost. He is admitting the bad day, I don't see how you make your comments about "thanks for the GB winner" either..

he did it with the GB/Bears game most recently...must be considering becoming a trader.

[QUOTE=lonewolf;39142]he did it with the GB/Bears game most recently...must be considering becoming a trader.[/QUOTE] Still doesn't answer my question on how you KNEW to ignore his game day messages and just play the GB side. If you dont want to share your insights thats cool just asking.

I can tell based on context clues. It's the same with Shooter's picks. Depending on his reasoning, I can back or fade.

c'mon man! shooter? i usually fade his fades. fez knows the right side. he just likes making too many plays. more than 80% of the analysts picked GB. Pitt was been making big plays in desperate situations...how long can that continue. whereas, GB recievers keep dropping passes...i just thought GB would get the break this time because their secondary was playing so well.

[QUOTE=lonewolf;39146]c'mon man! shooter? i usually fade his fades. fez knows the right side. he just likes making too many plays. more than 80% of the analysts picked GB. Pitt was been making big plays in desperate situations...how long can that continue. whereas, GB recievers keep dropping passes...i just thought GB would get the break this time because their secondary was playing so well.[/QUOTE] Understand completely and thats some great analysis although I would say that 80% of the analysts picking one side should make one go the other way. My point was that I was trying to comprehend your original comment about thanking Fezz for his GB pick when he was middling and even advocating Pitt on game day.