Shooter's 10/10 CFB

Shooter's 10/10 CFB 325 Miami Ohio (+20) (-120) Didn't get the good #, but still got the right side. Miami has improved drastically with the insertion of RS Frosh Zac Dysert at QB. Miami has 722 yds of total offense in their L2 games. Northwestern let an Eastern Michigan team, that isn't much better than Miami if at all, hang around until the game's final play. Northwestern got a gift win (and I was on NW +8) at Purdue. Purdue was up 21-3 with 2 and change left in 2nd Q and turned it over. NW got a TD, then Purdue fumbled a KO, NW got a FG. Purdue then fumbled trying to run out the clock, NW recovered and kicked another FG and it was 21-16 at half. NW ran 30 more plays than Purdue and had the same total offense. 321 Purdue (+3') (-108) Purdue leads the country in turnovers and had 7 LW and yet they only get 3 and the hook at Minnesota who's playing in a brand new stadium this year? 321/322 Purdue/Minnesota OVER 53 Minnesota is bad against the run and Purdue is terrible against the pass. Both teams will move the ball with ease. 308 Syracuse (+10) (-105) Cuse hung with USF but Paulus threw 5 picks and they had 7 TO's. West Virginia is talented offensively, but that garbage score against Colorado shows that their defense is weak and can be scored upon. Cuse has shown fight in every game this year. 312 Virginia Tech (-13) (-112) BC comes back to earth here. VT's seniors have NEVER beaten BC. This is the year to get them and they know that. 333 Vanderbilt (-10) (-111) 333/334 Vanderbilt/Army OVER 38' (-105) This reminds me of two weeks ago when Vandy was off a performance where they were dominated (vs. Miss St) and then was a fav on the road and NO ONE wanted any part of them. Numerous GOYs were on Rice, and not just from the scummy touts, but from some of the good guys as well. Vandy crushed Rice. I think they do the same here. 310 Illinois (+4) The Illini are "falling apart". Yes, they aren't playing well and yes, Zook is a moron. However, with the exception of the massive egg laid against Mizzou, they have lost to teams they were supposed to lose to (at Ohio St and home vs. Penn St). Granted, they were in decisive fashion, but that gives value here. Eddie McGee is not as talented as Juice Williams, but he's less erratic as well and more steady. Michigan St off that HUGE home win over Michigan, but they are still a 2-3 club. Who are they to lay over a FG on the road to the more talented team? 313/314 Eastern Michigan/Central Michigan OVER 53' (-118) Not the best #, but the right direction here. EMU still hasn't settled into what Ron English wants to do defensively. However, they do have a QB Andy Schmitt who has started in 4 straight seasons. EMU has shown some capability in spots to score (i.e. at Michigan and at Northwestern in 2nd H). Central Michigan off a lackluster offensive performance at Buffalo. 345 Georgia (+2) (-105) When in doubt, I'll take Mark Richt and the points on the road. Georgia's pass defense is horrific, but Tennessee doesn't have the personnel to take advantage. 327 Iowa State (+20) (-115) 327/328 Iowa State/Kansas UNDER 58 KU is off a bye, but I think they come out a little flat here. Iowa St led 20-0 at the half LY and are off a tough loss LW to K-State. I would expect a focused effort here. 371 Kentucky (+10) Kentucky lost at home to the two best teams in the SEC. Now they go on the road to play a game that's a little more winnable. Gamecocks usually own Kentucky and have a statement game at Alabama next week to prove they are for real in the SEC. 331/332 Ball State/Temple UNDER 49 (-115) BSU went over the total with Toledo LW, but the score was 17-13 in the middle of the 4th qtr before all hell broke loose. This will be more of a defensive battle here. 336 Wyoming (-10) (-104) Heavy price to lay with Wyoming, but they are better with this new QB (Austyn Carta-Samuels). He's 2-0 already. New Mexico is plain bad and can't play at all (cover at Texas Tech aside). 330 Ole Miss (+5') (-115) Would've rather had +6', but still like the Rebels here. People have written off Ole Miss a little too early due to their loss at South Carolina. 355/356 Wisconsin/Ohio State OVER 48' 356 Ohio State (-15') I'm going to stop taking Wisky unders. Now that I take an over, I know they'll f--k me. Went against Wisky LW being that they got fat and happy at home and they won at Minnesota. That provides decent value here. It's tough to lay this with Ohio State because they never seem to get far enough away from teams to justify covering this #, but I think a 5-0 team getting over 2 TD's is just too good to be true. Too Good. :rolleyes: 375/376 Baylor/Oklahoma OVER 55 (-105) 375 Baylor (+26) Baylor couldn't cover and go over with crappy Kent State and their defense that Iowa State carved through with ease. Why would they be able to do it against Oklahoma off a tough loss? Hmmm. 377/378 Navy/Rice OVER 54 378 Rice (+11') (-104) Rice couldn't go OVER with explosive Tulsa, so how can they do it with the run, run, run of Navy? Hmmm. Navy off taking the commanding lead in the battle for the Commander-in-Chief Trophy and an OT win over Air Force. Letdown spot here. 319 Indiana (+7) (-108) 319/320 Indiana/Virginia OVER 46' (-105) UVA finally got their first win and held a more talented UNC team to 3 pts on the road. Why not do the same to lowly Indiana? Indiana had some success and had some high expectations to give Ohio State a game in front of a sellout crowd, a rare one at that, and laid an egg. I don't know if IU has completely returned to their usual poor form just yet. 341/342 Kent/Bowling Green OVER 52' (-106) 315 Duke (+14') 313/316 Duke/NC State OVER 55 More to come.
eastern michigan qb schmitt is out for the year.kyle mcmahon and alex gillett will probably both see action...just a heads up shooter....good luck
359/360 Arizona State/Washington State OVER 49 ASU, after playing at Georgia and vs. Oregon State, finally finds a defense that their mediocre offense can do damage against. 362 Akron (+3') (-109) Ohio riding high off solid performance in Knoxville and shootout win at BG. Now they face an Akron who is off 2 bad performances and a bye week. Akron was -2' at Ohio late last year and now they are taking +3'? Is Ohio that much better and Akron that much worse than LY? The talent doesn't have that much of a discrepancy in the MAC. Think the Bobcats are a tad overvalued. 364 Colorado State (+7') CSU lost at Idaho LW and now go home to face Utah, who is off a bye and has beat up on CSU the last few years. Easy play on the Utes right? :rolleyes: 318 Wake Forest (-10) (-120) Wake's L4 lined games decided by 3,7, 3 and 6 points. We know Wake is historically a terrible home fav and they lay DD here. Just daring you to take the Terps here. Wake got beat 26-0 at Maryland LY. Here is a game where revenge may actually mean something. 343 Stanford (+1') (-108) Oregon State got right with a road win at ASU, but this is an awful small line for them to lay on their home field, which is one of the tougher places to play in the Pac-10. 399/400 North Texas/UL Lafayette OVER 53 (-105) 349 Kansas State (+17) (-115) 349/350 Kansas State/Texas Tech UNDER 57' (-115) Sheffield came off the bench for injured Potts and led Red Raiders on 4 drives. TT is a system to plug in any QB and succeed, but I'm not sure this offense will have business as usual with this kid in his first start. K-State is also the lowest scoring O in the Big 12. 367 Western Michigan (+7') (-105) 367/368 Western Michigan/Toledo OVER 60 (-105) WMU got held to 3 pts at NIU. They'll score a lot more here. Even though WMU can't run to save their life, they can pass and Toledo's defense is a total joke. I have said a few times that their HC Beckman can't coach defense. He's lucky to have gotten this head job b/c he was going to get canned for his shaky record as Okla State DC. 397/398 Florida Atlantic/Western Kentucky OVER 53' 380 Air Force (+10) 353/354 Georgia Tech/Florida State UNDER 54' (-109) 354 Florida State (-2') (-109) All the talk in the media this week is about how Bobby B needs to go (I agree), but I expect FSU to have a focused effort of this week. This is a play against the media angle. I also expect his longtime trusty assistant and confidant Mickey Andrews will design some kind of scheme and have his defense play out their asses for old man Bowden. 391/392 Idaho/San Jose State UNDER 52 (-105) 392 San Jose State (-3) (-117) The secret's out. Idaho is one of the more improved teams in the country. However, they were getting +16' at home LY and now only get 3, 3' on the road? Tomey off a bye week laying this small # might just be the nuts here. If you like Idaho, bet the over. If you like SJSU, take the under.
390 Memphis (+3) UTEP caught Houston in a horrible spot and took advantage, while still giving up 664 yds of total offense. Can't lay pts with a defense that bad on the road. UTEP is still being outgained by 184 ypg. 386 Iowa (-8) (-103) I mentioned in my Ark St +22 writeup at Iowa LW that Iowa was looking ahead. Iowa doesn't have a rival that you really associate with them in the Big 10. They look at Michigan as their biggest rivals and they have a senior class that has never beaten Michigan. Even though Michigan isn't back to where they were, this still means a hell of a lot to these kids. I expect Iowa to be a focused favorite here. 381/382 East Carolina/SMU OVER 52 (-105) 382 SMU (+7) (-115) After taking on a ton of great defenses, ECU finally gets one they can score on. SMU also gets an ECU team playing road game #4 in 5 weeks. 339 Arizona (-3) Washington beat USC at home so they can surely beat Arizona right?:rolleyes: Ariz off a bye week and looks like the sleeper in the Pac-10. 395/396 Fresno State/Hawaii OVER 58' (-105) 396 Hawaii (+10) (-108) Hawaii looked awful at La Tech. Alexander out for year. No way they hang with Fresno, eh? Fresno still has a lacking defense and laying DD here wouldn't be prudent. I think Hawaii will still move the ball even with this walk-on QB.

[QUOTE]Purdue leads the country in turnovers and had 7 LW and yet they only get 3 and the hook at Minnesota who's playing in a brand new stadium this year? [/QUOTE] What does the new stadium @ Minny have to do with this? that was kind of an off the wall reason. I agree with Purdue though.
You would think the new stadium would have more of a HFA, but it doesn't. Line just looked smallish.
303/304 Nebraska/Missouri UNDER 52
A few moving my way with RAS, Doctor and Fezzik (Purdue, BSU/Temple UN, ECU/SMU OV, WMU/Toledo OV, Stanford, Zona, Wake) and a couple against (Fresno/Hawaii OV predictably pissed on, W Mich, Duke, Purdue/Minny OV). Still sticking with all of them for now. Add 3 more for Sat: 324 Pittsburgh (-6') Crossed the key # of 7. Don't like to lay pts with Wanny, particularly 2 weeks in a row, but I'm not a big believer in UConn at all. 383/384 Florida/LSU UNDER 45 With or without Tebow, this has the makings of an SEC defensive classic struggle with 2 elite teams. 387/388 Utah St/New Mexico St UNDER 49 (-105) GL
Add for Fri 10/9: 305 Louisiana Tech (+11) 305/306 Louisiana Tech/Nevada UNDER 57 (-105) Going oppo of the majority tonight. La Tech has a good running game and can control the clock.
Just took Louisiana Tech +11. Good Luck!!