Shooter's NFL Week #5 Best week of the year LW with an 18-11 mark.
NFL Record: 59-52-1
NFL Sides: 22-23
NFL Totals: 26-17
Halftime and 1st H Sides: 3-6-1
Halftime and 1st H Totals: 8-6
401/402 Minnesota/St. Louis OVER 40 (-112)
I don't have the stats or system on this, but just my own observations. Teams that get shut out the previous game are usually good OVER bets the next game.
402 St. Louis (+10')
Minnesota has to have an emotional letdown off that win and a big game with the Baltimore Ravens on deck.
403/404 Dallas/Kansas City OVER 42' (-108)
KC's offense is taking baby steps. granted it was garbage time, but they were able to move the ball on the G-Men in the 2nd Half. Dallas's offense can also score on this young Chefs defense.
404 Kansas City (+8)
Can't trust Dallas laying this # on the road even against a bad Chiefs team. Bad teams sometimes can even get up and play well against big-name teams. KC will be up for Dallas.
405 Washington (+4')
405/406 Washington/Carolina OVER 37' (-106)
Carolina is still usually a good bet as a dog and terrible bet as the favorite. Carolina is the tout heavy play today (24-4 at my first tally), just like Ten over Jax LW. I actually think these 2 struggling offenses will lead to the over. Eventually coaches do tire of hearing all the chatter question their playcalling. I think Zorn will open it up and he's actually tried to the last couple of weeks, but Campbell has made mistakes. On the Carolina side, I think they will finally decide to do what they do best which is run, run, run and then open up play action passing for Jake. Washington will be able to score on defense. It's no secret that Julius Peppers was unhappy and wanted to get out of Carolina. It's also no secret that this guy is phoning it in at this point. He has been nonexistent and Carolina's defense is suffering.
407/408 Tampa Bay/Philadelphia UNDER 41'
OK, Donovan and Westbrook are back so the offense will just explode even more right? I think McNabb may be a little rusty in first game back. Plus, they are still trying to incorporate Vick in the offense. I think this throws things off kilter.
409 Oakland (+15')
I can't believe I am taking these chumps again. That's all I will say here.
412 Buffalo (-6) (-109)
Cleveland almost won and Buffalo looked like crap LW, so Cleveland is the obvious take here, right?:rolleyes:
414 Baltimore (-9) (-104)
Cincy has won 3 in a row and Balty off a tough loss. However, Cincy isn't there yet to win a game like this. I still think Cincy's defense (particularly the back 7) is a big question mark. Flacco can go nuts here.
415/416 Pittsburgh/Detroit UNDER 44
416 Detroit (+11)
Steelers dominated over SD LW. Lions just got scored on again by Chicago. Looks like a low total to entice takes on the over.
417 Atlanta (+3) (-118)
417/418 Atlanta/San Francisco OVER 40
49ers stepped up in game one without Gore. Hill has been solid and will move the ball today. On the other side, I think Atlanta can use SFO's aggressiveness on defense against them.
419/420 New England/Denver OVER 41 (-102)
Two mirror inage teams should lead to the easy under. However, that never happens b/c players make plays.
420 Denver (+3') (-112)
Everyone keeps betting against Denver thinking this is the week they lose. I gotta keep riding the Donkeys here until they lose.
421/422 Houston/Arizona UNDER 50 (-105)
Fading the obvious here.
423 Jacksonville (+1')
423/424 Jacksonville/Seattle UNDER 44' (-105)
Hasselbeck is back, but I actually thought Seneca Wallace (who I am not high on) did an admirable job considering the poor running game. Seattle a little healthier on defense this year and even a medicore Seattle team only laying 1.5 at a tough home field with their QB returning gives me pause and leads me to the other side.
426 Tennessee (+4) (-113)
4-0 against 0-4. This just sets up bad for the Colts.
