Shooter's Week #2 CFB

[QUOTE=Shooter;2284]Add: 319/320 Miss St/Auburn OVER 43 Agree with Fez. Still avail at CRIS. Liked this initially, but waited a little long. Auburn's totals continue to be low. Oddsmakers haven't caught up yet to the new Gus Malzahn Offense.[/QUOTE] On top, the Miss St spread (former florida OC) was ran very well in the 2H. Nice spead dynamic.

Add for Thursday night: 301/302 Clemson/Ga Tech OVER 44 The L4 mtgs have gone way under. However, you have a RS FR (Kyle Parker) making his first road start, which could be good for some turnovers and short fields. Paul Johnson also wasn't happy with GT's intensity LW. "We have a little problem with killer instinct and intensity levels and playing hard. That is something we have to work on." Clemson also allowed Middle Tenn 9/20 on 3rd Down. Even with Spiller injured, Clemson was able to run the ball fairly well.

I go to lunch hoping my OV 43 +102 gets filled and I come back to a full two points worse (I did get a few nibbles from the fish, but no big bites) Damn you sharps!

[QUOTE=Old School;2231]We agree on #334, 357, 373, 376, , 313, 320, 326, 317; disagree on 317 total. Last week agreed on 14 games, and those went 10-4. Good luck this week![/QUOTE] OS--you say you and Shooter agree on 317 and disagree on the 317 total. I didn't see either of these plays mentioned in your post. Thanks

[QUOTE=BuckyBadger;2299]OS--you say you and Shooter agree on 317 and disagree on the 317 total. I didn't see either of these plays mentioned in your post. Thanks[/QUOTE] I should have said we agree on #327 and disagree on the total. Good work Bucky.

As of now I think we agree on #373 USC, #320Auburn, #376 SJ St, #327 SC, #353 AF, #357 WM, #345 Pitsburg under, #366 Oklahoma St over, #391 Kansas St under, #313 CM, and #325 Stanford. We now disagree on #334 Oregon and #327 SC over. Good luck to everyone!

and probably some disagreement on Duke vs. Army. Waiting on a better # though. A lot of respected people are on Army and I have them as a play on this year and had them LW, but I think Duke is undervalued off their loss to FCS Champ Richmond.

Add: 321 Duke (+1) (-112) 321/322 Duke/Army OVER 42 Overreaction to the the Richmond loss. Duke was overconfident on the basis of their win over similar team (James Madison LY). https://www.heraldsun.com/pages/full_story_sports/push?article-Cutcliffe-+We+have+to+win+the+hard+way%20&id=3537960-Cutcliffe-+We+have+to+win+the+hard+way&instance=main_article Duke has a 4-year starter at QB. Army is a play-on team IMO this year, but they played a dog team LW and Duke lost at home to a team they theoretically should've beaten. I think the oddsmakers overcompensated here. 311/312 Marshall/Va Tech OV 42' Got this at Bookmaker. VT only had 155 yds LW. I would expect better here. Marshall couldn't run the ball on So Illinois and they won't run on VT either, even though their rush D looks not as solid as usual. Marshall allowed 8/14 on 3rd Down to SIU. VT should be able to move the ball at will. Marshall's offense is also improved. 331/332 BYU/Tulane UNDER 54 Total set high b/c BYU is bound to break out of their lack of offense LW, right? GL

Add: 343 SMU (+12) UAB opened -2' and closed -6 over Rice. People continued to bet it even then and UAB covered by 20. Now they are -12 over SMU. The oddsmakers overcompensated again here. They closed 6 to UAB and now they open 12? Would Rice be 6 points better than SMU on a neutral? No. I actually have SMU rated ahead of Rice. Plus, you have an SMU team that had to come back against I-AA Stephen F. Austin. UAB looks easy. Why wouldn't UAB be 14 then? GL

[QUOTE=Shooter;2356]Add: 343 SMU (+12) UAB opened -2' and closed -6 over Rice. People continued to bet it even then and UAB covered by 20. Now they are -12 over SMU. The oddsmakers overcompensated again here. They closed 6 to UAB and now they open 12? Would Rice be 6 points better than SMU on a neutral? No. I actually have SMU rated ahead of Rice. Plus, you have an SMU team that had to come back against I-AA Stephen F. Austin. UAB looks easy. Why wouldn't UAB be 14 then? GL[/QUOTE] This is my favorite play of the week Shooter. I have SMU ahead of Rice also and SMU is as talented as UAB imo. Both defenses are a wash. This number should really be -7 imo at most.