SportsMemo best bets newsletter minus units for the year.......

[QUOTE=Fezzik;10123]Home Team to Under Road Team to Over. A quick note. TimT is literally one of the best in the world at what he does. It is unfair and unrealistic to think he can groom a replacement to be as good as himself......won't happen. However, he has done a solid job finding good, capable guys to fill in on his off days.[/QUOTE] nonsense, simple baseball corrolations are something a 5th grader can ascertain. for a tout to give that parlay to customers is inexcusable.

Goose, I looked and know for certain Andrew did not release and anti-correlated parlay as described above to clients. I also find it hard to believe he would have recommended it on the radio either since part of his daily tasks include running data to provide correlated edges in player prop match ups. One of the concepts included is the home/road properties of the ninth inning probabilities of at bats. He is well aware of correlations. If he did recommend a parlay as such, it was an error of live radio (looking at the schedule wrong, reversing home teams, brain cramp) rather than a lack of understanding of this correlation. That is not to say that the new guys don't make mistakes and have a lot to learn, but overall they have a pretty strong understanding and continue to work hard to get better.

it was definately on the radio and not a release. i realize it was a one time thing and these things do happen. this wasn't meant to be a poor reflection of andrew's overall abilities.

Any one have data on large baseball favorites at home? At what point (-160?), or maybe 180?) does the home to under correlation get dwarfed by the fav to over correlation?

my guess is the people that have such data aren't willing to share