The Square Sharps everywhere babbling about bad luck, variance, etc.

The Square Sharps everywhere babbling about bad luck, variance, etc. It seems every site I go to, I keep hearing about all the bad luck, bad bounces, and how they are confident things will turn 'based on their 10 year winning record'. LOL. 1999 and 2003 are LONG gone. Methods that used to work, simply don't any more.......

The "game" is constantly evolving.. prior to 2005, I think many of us subscribed to the theory of "history will repeat itself." College FB seems to be more and more driven by beating the spread for coaches and large favorites are now dangerous (except those of 40+ pts -- see TCU). The NFL is completely "screwed up" when compared to old school thoughts from the past. I have been putting a lot of thought into the potential change when the "salary cap" goes away. I still cannot decide... following the past is the "safest" way to go in this racquet. However, when these times of change come about, it can be a windfall for those who properly adapt the quickest. There is more risk to the "quickest adapter", but I think this may be the way to go for true profits in this constantly evolving market.

Fezzik is always a the sky is falling kind of guy.

Things have changed a lot the last 5 years - there is still money to be made - lots of it, but you or your computer must be much much much faster.

some good news... [url]https://www.reuters.com/article/internetNews/idUSTRE5AQ4HG20091127[/url]

Dude, we get it... [QUOTE=sean1;10890]Things have changed a lot the last 5 years - there is still money to be made - lots of it, but you or your computer must be much much much faster.[/QUOTE] You really like your computer! Yes, I understand that these methods can gain you an advantage, but there are other methods that work now and in the near future.

You really like your computer! Yes, I understand that these methods can gain you an advantage, but there are other methods that work now and in the near future. I agree, but many of them are going away because the books have become much sharper and much faster.

[QUOTE=Fezzik;10874]It seems every site I go to, I keep hearing about all the bad luck, bad bounces, and how they are confident things will turn 'based on their 10 year winning record'. LOL. 1999 and 2003 are LONG gone. Methods that used to work, simply don't any more.......[/QUOTE] I keep track of close losses and close wins, and I'm usually 45 to 55% on these games. This year, I'm about 37%. If I was 45% on close games (coin-flips), I would almost match exactly my record of the last two years (724.5-599.5, 54.7%, +89.88 units). Luck will even out, but only over the long run. I've given up on this year, but my younger partner will not give up. BTW, we are 285-282, -18.52 units in football this year, but our bankrolls have grown because mine is 1/3 in gold and 1/3 in Euros, and my partner's is 1/4 in gold, 1/4 in Euros, and 1/4 in the US stock market. Of course, we will have to get out before the crash, or our bankrolls will take a big hit. No matter where you put your gambling bankroll, you are gambling with it. If you left it in US dollars (safe, right?), you took a huge hit this year. Timing is everything.

Everything in life is a gamble! It's hard to say if the lines have gotten sharper or if the random shit happening at the end of games variance was just super high this year. One thing I have certainly noticed though is far more college coaches are choosing not to run out the clock up 20 or 30 or 40...

The game is always evolving. In the late 80's and early 90's any college game with a plus 28 or more was a quality dog play. After the Penn State fiasco that situation was pretty much lost with a few specific exceptions.