Sunday 11/04/12

Sunday 11/04/12 I really like the card this week. Here is my favorite. [B]421 Ravens -3.5[/B] -110 to win 2 units. IF I’m wrong then what can I say? Injuries are so often overrated. And, the Ravens are definitely a better team, even laying points on the road. Last time they played the Ravens were playing their 4th game in 18 days, on a Thursday and pulled out a sloppy 7 point win. I am very sure you’ll get a great effort out of the Ravens who were embarrassed two weeks ago. Betting the NFL is all about the zig-zag...This is a zig and I think a focused Ravens team this week. The horrible weather last week evened the game out for Cleveland against the Bolts and I think they are overvalued. Neither team could score in the ball dropping, horribly, gusty wind conditions. The game was a joke. Ravens have had a week to prepare while Cleveland has their bye next week. Many dogs don’t bark. Double digit win, I think. Lay the favorite and don't sweat it.
Nuggets I didn't mention and were NOT part of my handicap as I uncovered them last night: In the NFL since October of 2007, the league is 23-4-1 against the spread as a road favorite after a bye (Ravens). This year, teams going into their bye are 5-13 ATS (Cleveland). Don't worry. In true tout fashion, if I uncover a trend that does not support the Ravens, I'll not post it (LOL).
:) I recall a good trend of teams with winning records ATS headed into their bye as well, which Cleveland most certainly is not, especially as the season progresses.