Sunday Baseball Florida at Philadelphia
The Marlins are a young free swinging club that has troubles with crafty veterans. Which is why we are a big fan of Jamie Moyer when these two clubs tangle. Because he's a soft tosser and an old one at that he's often overlooked by the general public. But we receive extreme handicapping value when he faces the Marlins.
Look at how Moyer has matched up against Florida the past few years. This season he's faced them twice holding them to a .208 batting average and .250 slugging percentage. Last year the veteran faced Florida five times holding them to a .216 average and .302 slugging percentage. In 2007 it was more of the same with a .217 batting average and .435 slugging mark. Even as far back as 2006 he held Florida to a .239 batting average. Simply put the Marlins are not built to hit a pitcher like Jamie Moyer and to get him as an underdog at home is simply a bargain we don't pass up.
Philadelphia hits .23 points better at home vs right-handed starters than lefties. They are 13-2 in Moyer's last 15 starts against the Fish. Josh Johnson has allowed 3 earned runs or more in 4 of his last 5 starts and he's facing a Phillies club who has won 16 of 22 at home. With Florida winning the first two games of this series we can't expect the host to be swept today. Look for the old crafty veteran to salvage one game for Philadelphia.
PLAY PHILADELPHIA Milwaukee at Houston
The Brewers hit lefties on the road .11 points lower than righties, and today they face one of the hottest southpaws in the league as Wandy Rodriquez takes the hill for Houston. The young lefty had to leave his last start with a minor injury but word is he's 100% for today's start. In that game he held the Cardinals to a single earned run in four innings of work. In fact, in his last six starts overall he's allowed just four earned runs in 40 innings. In his lone start against the Brewers this year he held Milwaukee to a .222 batting average while allowing a single run. Last year he faced the Brew Crew twice allowing only a .167 average and .222 slugging percentage. The Astros are 8-2 on the season when Wandy takes the mound at home.
Gallardo is coming off his worst start of the season as the Dodgers pounded him for 9 earned runs in just over 5 innings of work. He's really struggled as of late allowing 24 earned runs in his last six starts. The Milwaukee right-hander has a pedestrian 4.15 ERA on the road this year. The Brewers have dropped 5 of his last 7 starts overall.
We're backing a pitcher with a full run lower ERA at home at quite a bargain price. Look for Wandy to do his magic on the Milwaukee bats.
PLAY HOUSTON
The Marlins are a young free swinging club that has troubles with crafty veterans. Which is why we are a big fan of Jamie Moyer when these two clubs tangle. Because he's a soft tosser and an old one at that he's often overlooked by the general public. But we receive extreme handicapping value when he faces the Marlins.
Look at how Moyer has matched up against Florida the past few years. This season he's faced them twice holding them to a .208 batting average and .250 slugging percentage. Last year the veteran faced Florida five times holding them to a .216 average and .302 slugging percentage. In 2007 it was more of the same with a .217 batting average and .435 slugging mark. Even as far back as 2006 he held Florida to a .239 batting average. Simply put the Marlins are not built to hit a pitcher like Jamie Moyer and to get him as an underdog at home is simply a bargain we don't pass up.
Philadelphia hits .23 points better at home vs right-handed starters than lefties. They are 13-2 in Moyer's last 15 starts against the Fish. Josh Johnson has allowed 3 earned runs or more in 4 of his last 5 starts and he's facing a Phillies club who has won 16 of 22 at home. With Florida winning the first two games of this series we can't expect the host to be swept today. Look for the old crafty veteran to salvage one game for Philadelphia.
PLAY PHILADELPHIA Milwaukee at Houston
The Brewers hit lefties on the road .11 points lower than righties, and today they face one of the hottest southpaws in the league as Wandy Rodriquez takes the hill for Houston. The young lefty had to leave his last start with a minor injury but word is he's 100% for today's start. In that game he held the Cardinals to a single earned run in four innings of work. In fact, in his last six starts overall he's allowed just four earned runs in 40 innings. In his lone start against the Brewers this year he held Milwaukee to a .222 batting average while allowing a single run. Last year he faced the Brew Crew twice allowing only a .167 average and .222 slugging percentage. The Astros are 8-2 on the season when Wandy takes the mound at home.
Gallardo is coming off his worst start of the season as the Dodgers pounded him for 9 earned runs in just over 5 innings of work. He's really struggled as of late allowing 24 earned runs in his last six starts. The Milwaukee right-hander has a pedestrian 4.15 ERA on the road this year. The Brewers have dropped 5 of his last 7 starts overall.
We're backing a pitcher with a full run lower ERA at home at quite a bargain price. Look for Wandy to do his magic on the Milwaukee bats.
PLAY HOUSTON
