[QUOTE=DiscreetCat;38709]I disagree with the analysis here. That's not to say i disagree that the Steelers have a strong run defense, of course they do (and yes, i was well aware of that when i made the bet). But it's not like Starks has been particularly effective lately; he had a big game against the Eagles but was around 3 yards per carry during the last couple of weeks. That's pretty bad, and frankly, it'll be hard to do much worse against the Steelers. I don't expect Starks to run wild here, but we're talking about carries, not yardage. And it's apparent that Green Bay will feed him the ball regardless. Game situation will undoubtedly come into play here, it always does, and i definitely don't want to see the Packers fall into a big hole. But if you think that Green Bay is just going to abandon the run because Pittsburgh is strong in that facet of the game, then you don't know football very well. You "dance with you brung ya", and right now James Starks is a big part of that. If Green Bay gets out to a nice advantage, this one comes in easily (short of injury, of course). It sure as hell ain't a coin-flip, that much i know.[/QUOTE]
Agree and McCarthy has always said rushing attempts are more important than yards per carry. He needs attempts to set up the rest of his gameplan. I do believe GB will look to throw early and often but if they run 60 plays and Rodgers throws 40 times that still leaves 20 rushing attempts. Rodgers may take some of those attempts. Forget about Kuhn and Jackson. They haven't seen much at all in the post season.
And, if GB is up, Starks will get some attempts because of the game situation as well. Value at 17 or less IMO.