Super Bowl Props Sure, I bet on football as well, but not to the degree that my esteemed colleague Fezzik does.
[B]Team to have the most penalty yards. Saints -165[/B]
Colts in the AFC Championships Game had just ONE penalty for 5 yards. The Saints had 9 for 88. Playoff Total Colts 5-30 Saints 15-132. Regular Season Colts 74-546 Saints 89-787.....still -165 at Bodog.
[B]Darren Sharper Over 5.5 Solo Tackles and Assists +110[/B]
Why is this prop still at plus money? I specialize in kicking and defensive props and the OV/UN line on these has gone up in recent years from 3.5 to 4.5 etc. Most of the other defensive numbers are 6.5 on Jonathan Vilma, Clint Sessions and Gary Brackett. OLB Scott Shanle Over 4.5 is a play but that line has moved 55 cents to -185.
Sharper had 7 solo and 4 assists vs. the Vikings. The Colts will throw at a rapid pace in the 1st half and even more if they are forced to come from behind. Sharper a ball-hawking safety can cover and will switch off against all of the Colts WRs. The key to these defensive props is that the linesmakers should never offer assists. On any given tackle there can be multiple player assists.
[B]1st missed Field Goal[/B]
[B]Wide Left -120[/B]
[B]Wide Right -110[/B]
Both kickers are perfect in the playoffs. Garrett Hartley 2-2 Matt Stover 5-5. In the Regular Season Hartley was 9 for 11, recall Hartley missed Wide Left vs. Tampa Bay and the Bucs stole one in OT. Also, vs. the Vikings, where the Saints could have avoided OT Hartley yanked, hooked, pulled or swung too much to the inside and missed left again.
Stover also 9 for 11 missed two field goals left, especially one way left vs. the Patriots.
You've seen it happen all season long. Kickers are having the holder tilt the ball left to put more of a draw or hook on their kicks and the majority that are missed are missed [B]Left[/B]. (Nate Kaeding not included)
[B]I posted the below prop earlier in the week under Tournament Matchups:
Golf Super Bowl Prop..........Las Vegas Hilton
Phil Mickelson's 4th round birdies -1/2 -135 vs. Peyton Manning's TD Passes[/B]
We are not kidding around with this prop. Mickelson had 17 birdies and 3 eagles last year in winning the Northern Trust Open. We'll round out the eagles to birdies and say 20 birdies over 4 rounds = 5 birdies per round average. He shot a 63 and a 62 last year! With wet/soft conditions he should be able to fire at all the flags and improve his birdie chances.
Manning's prop line for TD passes is 2.5 -120 (under). I don't expect 4+ TD passes here, Mickelson has the potential and I will predict to make 5-8 birdies in the final round. His final round last year was a 72 but he coasted in because he was well in front of the field after the 63 and 62.
