Texans Blow it Kicking Fgs down 21 and 18, get away with it. NFL coaches should have a fg chart, which should say 'Down by 18 or more, if there is any reasonable option, ALWAYS go for it'.
I am beyond frustrated by the bad coach decisions that don't understand that when you are down big, you obviously want to INCREASE variance, not reduce it. Further, Coaches have to realize 2 points conversions are NOT exactly givens.......when you are down 15 it is NOT a 2 possession game, it is a 2.5 possession game.
When Houston went for 3s down 21 and 18, I said each time "VERY hard for me to believe this isn't going to force them to convert a much more difficult series of 4th downs LATER in the game to win". They got very lucky later only having to convert 4th and shorts, but my point is that NFL teams routinely don't go for 4th and 6s in the red zone down, 15, and almost always they are forced to go for 4th and 15s later in the game.....you simply HAVE to become a riverboat gambler down this much.
Texans played WAY too conservatively, EVERYTHING went right for them late in the game to catch up, but they STILL needed to convert a couple of 4th downs, AND a 2 just to get the game tied.....they should have been going for TDs WAY earlier.
The way they played this, they basically needed EVERYTHING to go right JUST TO GET INTO OT.........NOT a good strategy. I see NFL teams do this a lot......they would rather preserve a 5% chance to win, than be aggressive on a 40/60 play that if they MAKE it they have a 20% chance to win, but if they miss, they are drawing dead.......