Thoughts on NE -3 -120 vs. Denver

Thoughts on NE -3 -120 vs. Denver Anyone else think this price is cheap on NE? I have NE U12 wins this year and also think Balt got jobbed on those penalties on Brady - but NE moved the ball on them pretty much at will. And if they had scored TD's in 1H vs. Jets, think that game would have gone different. To me, both D's playing well, both have good WR's, decent RB's and it comes down to Brady/Belichek/NE OL vs. Orton/McD/DEN OL - and Welker back full tilt - think you gotta go with NE. Denver can lose and still feel great about their start to the season too. I can see Orton making mistakes here. And hopefully Refs keep handing out gifts to NE. Also, will this line go over 3? Thoughts appreciated.

I think it's cheap for Denver. They're in a back to back home dog spot for which they're geared up. Won with them last week and plan to do so again this week. Next week I'll fade them on the let down (this week I'll fade the Vikes for the same reason).

I think most sharps will agree with you and be on Denver. But I just don't see Orton beating Brady and think NE will take game very seriously - think Denver bubble will burst here. NE is really getting in sync on offense and think Denver will have trouble keeping up. Do you think public will bet it up by game time? My local moved to 3'.

I'm on NE. Don't care what the sharps say. I'm willing to lose with the better team. The much better team. The much better QB. Line will close north of 4. Sean

This looks as trappy as last weeks Dallas game. I would think that the Pats are an automatic take in this game. But that's what I thought last week with the Cowboys. I'm going to have to hash this out during the week to see what I can come up with.

Only difference is over the last 5 years, NE wins about 90% of the games they are supposed to win while Dallas is who knows every other week

I highly doubt this line closes north of 3.5.

Brady to the Endzone, and its Picked off by Champ Bailey!