TNF - Buffalo at Cleveland

TNF - Buffalo at Cleveland Second big night in a row in downtown Cleveland. Last night the Indians crashed with a thud after reeling off 10 wins in a row to set up a one game playoff to see if Terry Francona would be going back to Boston for a playoff series. It was another disappointing night though for Cleveland sports fans, something they are as accustomed to as the sun rising. Now the Browns, winners of two straight since they cleaned house with an eye to the future, get the prime time game less then a mile away from where the Indians crashed and burned last night. Line is Cle -3.5 offshore with some Buf +4 available in Las Vegas. Game opened Cle a FG fave so Browns caught decent play to push it off the 3. Total is a pretty even split of 40.5 and 41. The Bills won at home vs the Ravens last week as they took advantage of a Balt offensive line that has looked as bad as any outside of maybe the NYG. Flacco threw 5 INTs, was sacked 4 times and the run game didn't do anything with just 24 yds rushing. This was more a case of the Ravens being bad up front then the Bills being good (Ravens went out and traded for a Tackle two days later). Two weeks ago, the Bills were the beneficiaries of 20 Jet penalties and a 2-0 turnover edge and still lost the game pretty convincingly. This is not a very good team and they've had the good fortune of playing two games in row vs foes that made them look better then they are. Would love to fade the Bills here somehow. Cleveland laying more than a FG is a tough bet to make. Would prefer a moneyline bet but the price is still around -190. If it drops to -175 may be tempted to take some but there are other ways to go against the Bills. The Cleve off line has looked better since the QB switch was made and their defense is in the top half of NFL stop units. Vs top receivers Joe Haden has been as good as any and would not be looking to play OV on any Bills receiver tonight. Josh Gordon vs S Johnson looks like a good take at -10 yds or less on yardage. Scott Chandler NO TD is something I'll look for and hopefully play at less then -180. CJ Spiller is a game-time decision so fading him is a good idea if anyone hangs numbers on yardage. Interesting stat - QBs on TNF have thrown as many INTs as TDs last two seasons. Last year only 5 of 32 NFL teams threw less TDs than INTs. The ratio on Thurs nites of 50/50 is something to take note of when betting TD-or-INT first bets on QBs and the YES/NO on whether a QB will throw an INT. Lack of prep time would appear to be as logical an explanation as any for this spike in INTs. EJ Manuel to throw an INT before TD at anything plus money is worth a look. Cleveland has allowed just two TD passes this year vs three INTs. A rookie QB on the road in prime time vs a very capable pass defense looks like a good spot to bet EJ to throw an INT before a TD.