TOs for week eight?

TOs for week eight? Teams + in TOs continue to win ATS 90%. Last week I thought Ind, Pitts, and NE would be + in TOs. This week I think Balt, Chicago, SD, Tennessee, Arizona, and NO will be + in TOs. Other thoughts?

O.S., what's your reasoning for this weeks teams plus in TOs?

[QUOTE=Old School;7404]Teams + in TOs continue to win ATS 90%. Last week I thought Ind, Pitts, and NE would be + in TOs. This week I think Balt, Chicago, SD, Tennessee, Arizona, and NO will be + in TOs. Other thoughts?[/QUOTE] it's always a high percentage like that on a regular basis. if you can win the turnover game, you will win a lot of games

Buffalo has a point differential this season of minus-25, yet enjoys a turnover differential of plus +2. Also, Buffalo's turnover diff. last week vs. Carolina was +4. Accordingly, the Bills are inherently not as good as even their poor season record would suggest AND they would seem due to lose the T.O. battle this week against Houston. Play is on HOUSTON. NYG was minus-2 in T.O.'s last week in the upset by Az. NYG was +4 T.O.'s on the season going into that game. NYG plays Phil. this week. The Eagles are only +47 point diff. on the season despite being a huge number on T.O. differential (+11). Thus, Phil. is inherently not as good as their record would suggest because they should be much better with +11 turnovers. This is a double whammy situation in which the play should be on NYG.

Reasoning for predicted teams being + in TOs: (1) Baltimore, who I still think is better than Denver, is rested, off TO filled losses, and will be focused on ball secutity. Everything has gone Denver's way, so far. That won't continue. Orton can, and will, start turning the ball over. (2) Chicago figures to get ahead on Cleveland early, and with their poor QB play (128 ypg passing), Cleveland should turn the ball over several times in an effort to catch up. Plus Chicago was -4 in TOs LW, and should concentrate on ball security. (3) SD. In similar position to above game. Oakland a TO machine. (4) Tennessee has played the hardest schedule TY. Unlike Oakland and Cleveland, I think Tennessee has the smarts and talent to turn the season around, especially off the bye. (5) Carolina is another TO machine, and don't think they can regroup on the road. (6) NO should be focused on ball security after turning the ball over 4 times last week. Atlanta's pass defense should be easy for NO.

dont get this at all. teams + in to's are 90% ats in the nfl this year so now you are on a dog chase to figure out who will be + in to's this week? lol

You can't predict the recovery of a fumble.

Thanks O.S.

[QUOTE=cowboys;7469]You can't predict the recovery of a fumble.[/QUOTE] This is actually a pretty worthwhile insight. Arguably, you can predict, to some extent, susceptibility to both throwing and making interceptions (i.e., interception prone QB or ballhawking DB's). You can also arguably identify QB's, RB's and WR's who are fumble-prone, and defenders who cause fumbles. But under no circumstances can it be argued that who recovers a fumble is a predictable event.

No, but I don't know that anyone was doing that, either. If you have more fumbles, you will have more lost fumbles.