Total nonsense that CBA has anything to do with teams not as good off bye?

Total nonsense that CBA has anything to do with teams not as good off bye? Probably many of heard that Andy Reid's Eagles are 13-0 coming off a bye during his tenure. What I didn't know is that apparently he always gives his entire team off a full week (Ashely Fox article on ESPN) and even himself and the coaches take an extra break. Alot of commentary on the board that the CBA is the reason for some of the disappointing results of some teams off the bye. I have no idea what the answer is but once again it is the topics that come up on boards over and over: relatively small sample sizes just can't be used so that anyone can conclude that any team coming off a bye is being effected by the CBA. Or, perhaps Andy Reid is an outlier and we can't conclude anything either. He is only 13-0. He keeps taking a full week off a bye and coaches for 13 more years he might end up 13-13. He might just be getting lucky. I say this half seriously. I don't know. Or maybe every team should take a full week off like Reid and 5 days is just a bad number of days to have off.

As far as I can tell, the comments on this board at least have been about bad teams ATS off the bye. The Eagles haven't been bad much the past 13 years. Also, that 13-0 is SU. Not sure what he is ATS during that time, but I'll guess 7-6 :) But the key takeaway is that no, it isn't statistically significant what we've seen so far regarding bad teams off the bye. The problem is that it almost never will be, because linesmen constantly adjust. Even this trend may only work this year, if it's even legitimate.

Definitely agreed that the betting focus is struggling teams who may even be winless. But it is hard to argue that Philadelphia wouldn't somewhat fit at least the part about struggling. And certainly fit the bill of a team that would need to work on things that is for sure at least this year. But actually Philly has a distinct pattern of not playing well before the bye week and playing better after. This is a long term trend and Reid's record reflects it I'm fairly certain. But yes my main point is that there is at least some evidence that the CBA may not be a significant factor. Believe me I am not saying it isn't a factor either. But obvioulsy not aware of the negotiations and the practices of teams one really doesn't know that several teams may have had days off and the new CBA doesn't change much. The NFLPA may have been concerned about a few coaches who didn't provide 5 days and most already did. If that is the case, there really is nothing to it. But of course one could theorize that you did get 5 days or more but a bad team's coach had the option of starting back again in 3 days so perhaps that extra few days did help these teams. I'm at least willing to hypothesize...that is all hypothesize....that the CBA has no effect on this issue.

I was listening to an ESPN podcast with a former O-linemen on there, and he didn't seem to think the required days off were much of a difference from what most teams were already doing since they gave their guys a break over the off weekend.

I can't remember if they mentioned this on SNF or I read it somewhere else, but they mentioned part of what Reid does on the bye that might be different than others is to analyze his team and tendencies. By taking the time to focus on his playcalling tendencies and analyze what his team does good or bad could be the reason for his success. I assume other coaches do this as well but probably not on the same scale as Reid. They are the best rushing per attempt team in the league by a significant margin. Seems like he saw that Mccoy is really good and maybe he should get him the ball more... so they had 38 rushing attempts. Granted they were up by a good amount most of the game but still Lesean got the ball a lot. As a bettors we should probably do this too and see what teams we handicap the best at this point in the season. Too bad we don't have a bye week in betting the NFL to analyze ourselves.

i think most teams do that during the bye week, it's called "self-scouting"