Under 40 Pitt-NY Jets -113

Under 40 Pitt-NY Jets -113 There are a few dynamics at play here which really set up well for both defenses in a game for field position and low scoring. 1. Pitt's offensive line is facing some injury concerns which I will do further research on but the jets have done a great job of dominating the line of scrimmage against both Indianapolis and New England. Neither team was able to put together an effective running attack and I see the Steelers able to run the ball enough to chew up some clock. 2. The jets have done a great job with turnovers in the postseason and one of the biggest threats to an over is the pick-6 risk, or fumble risk. I trust LT's hands and look for both coaches to play more conservative. 3. While I do respect the Jet's ability to set up some nice field position based on special teams, I think Nick Folk, who has had his trouble will miss a sub-40 yard FG again in these conditions. 4. The return of Troy Polamalu will make it harder for the Jets to run the ball as his absence in the last game gave QB Sanchez a little more time to move the ball. 5. I think the corner play of the Jets will really take out a lot of the big play potential for the Steelers and allow the Jets to spy Pitt's QB preventing big scrambles. I can see NY Jet's conceding yards to Pitt, just not huge plays... More analysis to come. I played this 2 hours ago and it's already starting to move...
John, I see nothing but 38 1/2 and 39 everywhere. What am I missing?
[QUOTE=Bleonard;37614]John, I see nothing but 38 1/2 and 39 everywhere. What am I missing?[/QUOTE] Check your inbox...I just sent you the fill confirm...
[QUOTE=johnnetto;37613]There are a few dynamics at play here which really set up well for both defenses in a game for field position and low scoring. 1. Pitt's offensive line is facing some injury concerns which I will do further research on but the jets have done a great job of dominating the line of scrimmage against both Indianapolis and New England. Neither team was able to put together an effective running attack and I see the Steelers able to run the ball enough to chew up some clock. 2. The jets have done a great job with turnovers in the postseason and one of the biggest threats to an over is the pick-6 risk, or fumble risk. I trust LT's hands and look for both coaches to play more conservative. 3. While I do respect the Jet's ability to set up some nice field position based on special teams, I think Nick Folk, who has had his trouble will miss a sub-40 yard FG again in these conditions. 4. The return of Troy Polamalu will make it harder for the Jets to run the ball as his absence in the last game gave QB Sanchez a little more time to move the ball. 5. I think the corner play of the Jets will really take out a lot of the big play potential for the Steelers and allow the Jets to spy Pitt's QB preventing big scrambles. I can see NY Jet's conceding yards to Pitt, just not huge plays... More analysis to come. I played this 2 hours ago and it's already starting to move...[/QUOTE] I don't know where you got 40 at, but it's irrelevant. You like the Under, surely even at 38.5. And you like Jets outright. So what to you see the final score being?

[QUOTE=IceTea;37713]I don't know where you got 40 at, but it's irrelevant. You like the Under, surely even at 38.5. And you like Jets outright. So what to you see the final score being?[/QUOTE] No doubt I like the Jets outright...I see the Steelers scoring three times in the game for 2 FG's and possible a third FG or TD, so anywhere from 9-13 points. While I see the Jets setting up a TD off of special teams, and three more possessions which will result in 1 TD/2 FG, or 2 TD/1 FG so a final somewhere in the 20-9 on the short end or 24-13 on the higher scoring side of things...But gun to my head, I think there is a real shot Jets win 20-13...with a missed FG by both kickers... What are your thoughts on the game IceTea?