Under 40 Pitt-NY Jets -113 There are a few dynamics at play here which really set up well for both defenses in a game for field position and low scoring.
1. Pitt's offensive line is facing some injury concerns which I will do further research on but the jets have done a great job of dominating the line of scrimmage against both Indianapolis and New England. Neither team was able to put together an effective running attack and I see the Steelers able to run the ball enough to chew up some clock.
2. The jets have done a great job with turnovers in the postseason and one of the biggest threats to an over is the pick-6 risk, or fumble risk. I trust LT's hands and look for both coaches to play more conservative.
3. While I do respect the Jet's ability to set up some nice field position based on special teams, I think Nick Folk, who has had his trouble will miss a sub-40 yard FG again in these conditions.
4. The return of Troy Polamalu will make it harder for the Jets to run the ball as his absence in the last game gave QB Sanchez a little more time to move the ball.
5. I think the corner play of the Jets will really take out a lot of the big play potential for the Steelers and allow the Jets to spy Pitt's QB preventing big scrambles. I can see NY Jet's conceding yards to Pitt, just not huge plays...
More analysis to come. I played this 2 hours ago and it's already starting to move...