value of the nfl 3?

value of the nfl 3? would everyone agree that buying on/off the nfl 3 is worth .20 cents? i have heard some that don't think it's worth it.

[QUOTE=goose148900;80]would everyone agree that buying on/off the nfl 3 is worth .20 cents? i have heard some that don't think it's worth it.[/QUOTE] agree but worth a bit less in higher totaled games and more in lower totaled games.

I use 23cents or so, more later in the year, more on low totals, more on home dogs. But "more" means a penny or two more, and "less" a few cents less.

i understand why more on low totals but why more on home dogs and later in the year?

[QUOTE=goose148900;87]i understand why more on low totals but why ... later in the year?[/QUOTE] No reason. 'Cause it's not true :)

I believe home dogs are slightly tighter to the mean Also, variance in weeks 1-2 I recall being slightly higher than weeks 3-15.

Home field advantage is > later in the year.

If you look at Fezzik's Hilton plays, he ALWAYS took advantage of lines around 3 that had moved. Still, Fezzik's NFL and College contest results for 2008 were simply SICK!

I passed on some +3s that were down to +2.5 Won me the contest........