[QUOTE=Jacques St. Mush;2726]You had posted an NFLX play of Denver -2 1/2 -117.
At kickoff that night, Pinny had Denver - 2 1/2 +105, which is 22 cents away from your posted line for the play.
So the closing line there was still the same number of 2 1/2, although the juice was 22 cents greater on your original play.
When you speak of beating the closing line by x amount of points, is any consideration given in the record you are stating to situations such as this?[/QUOTE]
I use Cris for the closing line for the exact reason you state. I did better beating the closing line in week two, but there are many closing lines. Fezzik convinced me that beating the closing line is more profitable than fading steam. We will see how week 3 comes out. And, yes, the line will get tighter as the weeks go on, resulting in fewer plays.