[QUOTE=Climate;34448]Some folks, yes, even those with the ability to move a market, will back teams based on an angle or stats that fly in the face of reality, especially if it's not their own money.
The line was going up, and obviously +35 was the way to go, and I'd rather wait and risk getting +34 than missing out on +35, but someone probably had to release a play at 2 p.m. for their clients so they took out 34/34.5 instead of waiting for that valuable extra half-point.
I think sometimes it's people betting their own money, but many times it might not be.
Here's one example BEFORE they play:Miami Heat stats aren't worth that much right now as their attitude as shifted again after the Cleveland game. They are playing much more focused right now than before that game. For the next couple of games, playing against the Heat based on season stats is a bad play imo.[/QUOTE]
Not bad, 2-0 vs the spread. I should put this in the hoops forum, but take Denver vs Toronto on Dec. 10 in the first quarter and first half to get George Karl his 1000 win. Denver has the Knicks, Magic and Spurs after Toronto, and they could (probably) lose all three, as these aren't the same 'ole Knicks, as they have won 9 of 11.
So Denver will be especially motivated to win this game against Toronto. Stats have nothing to do with this game as you will most likely see Denver give an all-out performance to win this game vs the "just another game" performance of Toronto. They'll emphasize coming out strong to ensure a lead throughout the game.