Why 55% is the max

Why 55% is the max Out of the 54 games this week, 26 ATS results would have been different if just ONE play was changed!

Interesting! A game of inches indeed.

[QUOTE=Old School;6154]Out of the 54 games this week, 26 ATS results would have been different if just ONE play was changed![/QUOTE] This point around one play impacting the ATS result also illustrates the critical importance around having the best number. Off the top of my head, I can think of two results this week that I pushed or won, that I could have won no matter the side I took. This is really where the ability to win long term comes into play IMO.

[QUOTE=maximillion;6162]This point around one play impacting the ATS result also illustrates the critical importance around having the best number. Off the top of my head, I can think of two results this week that I pushed or won, that I could have won no matter the side I took. This is really where the ability to win long term comes into play IMO.[/QUOTE] NO Doubt! Turning pushes or losses into wins adds up. And in many cases it turns losing seasons into winning seasons. Take Oklahoma+3 1/2 today...

[QUOTE=250 Gee;6164]NO Doubt! Turning pushes or losses into wins adds up. And in many cases it turns losing seasons into winning seasons. Take Oklahoma+3 1/2 today...[/QUOTE] Okla +3' and TEX -2' is a perfect example from today. Very simply, nobody should have lost this game. From a long term perspective, all it takes is hitting 50% on games not falling near the number. With a high volume of wagers and grabbing a few of these gimme games or pushes each week, winning happens. With this approach, it almost makes sense to hope that lines become sharper and sharper. The more that hit that number, the more freebies that will appear.

[QUOTE=maximillion;6166]Okla +3' and TEX -2' is a perfect example from today. Very simply, nobody should have lost this game. From a long term perspective, all it takes is hitting 50% on games not falling near the number. With a high volume of wagers and grabbing a few of these gimme games or pushes each week, winning happens. With this approach, it almost makes sense to hope that lines become sharper and sharper. The more that hit that number, the more freebies that will appear.[/QUOTE] That's a very counterintuitive but true point.

[QUOTE=maximillion;6166] With this approach, it almost makes sense to hope that lines become sharper and sharper. The more that hit that number, the more freebies that will appear.[/QUOTE] I'm not sure about this. If lines do get sharper than it is now, I still don't see the push rates increasing. Maybe it increases a miniscule amount (0.2%?) but not enough to make a difference.