Would most agree that with the internet, 53% against WA is impossible?

Would most agree that with the internet, 53% against WA is impossible? It's my take that with the books all moving together, it's virtually impossible to hit 53% on NFL or CFB games posted after Thursday of the week? (Minimum 50 picks per year). SSB, a group I respect and I think do their homework have proven this. Back when WA lines were all over the place their picks were profitable. With lines now moving in unison they have not been significantly profitable in a long time. Note Fezz gives out most his picks early in the week (and probably bets 10x more than he gives out by betting very very early) My take in the current environment, you make your money either betting opening lines or second halves (which are a gold mine but cant really be posted). Small amounts can be made on bonuses and such, but the real money I think is in these two areas. Thoughts?

Agree on 2nd half lines. Also helps to have some locals with websites that don't move with the market.

Sean1, In my opinion it is just about impossible to hit 53% if you are not getting the best of the line and also getting down on a bunch of rogue numbers. There are people out there who can beat the widely available numbers, but I definitely am not talented enough to. Thanks, Eddie

Yeah Sean, The speed in which the bigger books move is to do with the tecnnology they are using - lots of places run on auto i.e once two books change on the screen the next book automatically changes half the time without taking a hit i.e you can see pin/mb move together when the Bot is turned on..... My own betting is done thur/fri and after that you watch out for market forces i.e whats been bet,how hard,what time and poss whos behind it - with that you can make another few bets ... In play betting is my area where I put my focus for last 6/7 years - its been very good to me but for 95% of people out there i'd tell them to steer well clear... Betting in WA numbers is no fun - the syndicates can make it pay on game day as they have perfect information.............

Not impossible, but it has definitely gotten much more difficult in recent years. Very little low-hanging fruit left out there.

Good thing is 51% on WA lines gets the cash in real life with line shipping. 53% has just become damn hard! Throw in 2Hs, bonuses, line shopping, locals, early lines, etc and this can still be very lucrative, but times are changing and we adapt.

[QUOTE=sean1;3297]SSB, a group I respect and I think do their homework ...[/QUOTE] In his first full NFL season, Stanford Wong concluded he couldn't beat it. He experimented with finding good handicappers by following contest leaders, but quickly concluded that wouldn't work. Nevertheless, it is basically how he picks hosts. Next he bet on observed winning craps players. Like his NFL handicapping, he admits being lifetime craps loser. But hey, if he can't do it then nobody can. He advertises "We maintain the highest level of integrity possible." But SSB doesn't mention their negative lifetime record. After I complained, they changed the ad from "Our hosts hit over 52.4%" to "We expect them to accomplish just that."

Oh forgot to say found baseball to be the hardest to bet in play - complete lottery

Why wait until Thursday to bet? You have to be ready on Sunday. We can bet 3 dimes on games on Sunday with locals ("local" does NOT mean "small"). Be ready to bet totals as soon as posted. Fade steam at post (example: SF pick vs Seattle at post last week).

yeah old school - if i could i would take leads on games but the fact of the matter is i am shattered by sunday night, i bet asian handicaps as well throughout the weekend plus in play -lot of work.........