OK Maddy. Here we go.
First of all, my friend isnt a moron. Like I said, he is a high roller. He has hundreds of thousands of dollars in his gambling budget. He was staying/playing at Mirage, and asked me to meet him at CR for some "fun." His "fun" cost him 25K which was enough to make me choke but not him.
Secondly, I know what the "math says" about how odds reduce the HA. But its just like in video poker, if you dont have the bankroll, (as you pointed out), betting lots of odds does not help you.
Here's why:
Lets say you are a right way player. No matter what odds you bet, whether they are 1x or 100x or 1000x, the house is still MORE LIKELY TO WIN each and every pass or come bet you make.
For example: on the point of 4. The house has a 3 to 1 chance of winning your bet-- each and every time. Yes, the "odds" say you will win one out of three times and therefore you will BREAK EVEN on the odds. But (and this is why the casinos love the odds and why the casinos are so rich) even if you do win one out of three times, they will still make a profit on the flat bet on the point of 4 -- because the odds say you will win it one time, and the house will win it two times.
So lets say the point of 4 is played three times with a $10 flat bet and 100x odds:
You win one time -- profit $10 odds win 2,000
second time you lose -- loss $10 odds lose 1,000
third time you lose -- loss $10 odds lose 1,000
results: pass line negative $10 odds break even
So lets go over the basics again: the house has NO advantage on the odds. And the player has NO advantage on the odds. At best over time (yes, long term play) you and the house BREAK EVEN on the odds and the house comes out ahead on the flat bet.
In the meantime, if the four doesnt win one out of three times while YOU are at the table (like the math says it should), the house can be WAY AHEAD on your odds betting as well as your flat bet.
Now, Im going to ask you this: do you bet 100x odds at CR ?? And do you consistently?? And why not? Probably because there are few of us who over time want to risk that much money to win so little. So little? YES!! Because there is no player advantage on the odds just as there is no house advantage on the odds.
Big odds (the backline bet for the pass and come bets) is nothing more than a lure to get you to lose more money over time. In fact, gaming statistics show that the average odds bet in Vegas is 2X odds.
Let me just remind you of this: there is NO way to beat the casino at the game of craps using MATH. Math will not win the game of craps. Math can help you in poker, and video poker and blackjack. But NO math will help you in craps.
And while mentioning blackjack, please dont insult me with stupid comments like "Money is 6/5 BJ the same as 3/2 BJ because there is really no advantage to the player by your logic." I never said such a thing or implied such a thing. Why create false comments? You want to talk about craps, talk about craps.
(edited to fix my odds payouts)