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Originally posted by: MoneyLA
Arc, what you fail to accept is that "Singer's System" is MORE than just making the "correct holds."
I offered this example once before and I will try it again with a slight adjustment of my wording:
A casino has a new video poker game called "win or lose." You can play this game only ONCE in your lifetime. It is the ultimate "short term play" game. In this game you are dealt five cards for one hand of 9/6 Jacks or Better. You play the one hand and keep what you win, but can never play it again.
When it is your turn to play your single, once in a lifetime hand, of "win or lose" you are dealt:
10h Jh Qh Kh 3h What do you do?
This example, in my opinion, actually defines what Singer's "system" is all about. ALL of us who are long term video poker players, or attempt to be long term video poker players, would follow the "math" and go for the royal. But the game of "win or lose" is different -- you only play it once in your lifetime. So what do you do? Do you hold the flush or go for the royal?
You can argue that going for the royal still gives you a shot at another flush or a high pair or a straight -- or you could blow the payoff for the dealt flush.
Its your choice Arc. And that's all Singer's system says as well-- it's your choice. You could call it "a flush in the hand is worth a royal in the bush."
(Please note: this is NOT one of Singer's special plays, but only something I created here to help explain my interpretation of his strategy and system. I did not discuss this with Singer.)
In the future, I hope to do another interview with Singer about his bankroll management and about his idea about increasing icreasing his denomination when losing to reach his win goal. I'm curious.
The best play has nothing to do with whether or not you'll play the game again. Expectation is expectation. Nothing to do with short term or long term. The odds are the odds.