How big is Clinton's loss going to be?

In the interest of being even handed, I post this one for all my leftist friends here.

To be honest, I have no idea who will win, and neither do you. But since Forkie "guarantees" a winner, I thought this would be a good place for an opposing view.

The poll that was the closest in the last three Presidential elections had Trump winning but it is in the margin of error. My only hope in this election is that Liarry loses. Couldn't care much less about who wins, I just am sick and tired of Clinton's, Bushes and Powell's.
she shouldn't even be allowed to run for President.
Quote

Originally posted by: lvfritz
In the interest of being even handed, I post this one for all my leftist friends here.

To be honest, I have no idea who will win, and neither do you. But since Forkie "guarantees" a winner, I thought this would be a good place for an opposing view.

The poll that was the closest in the last three Presidential elections had Trump winning but it is in the margin of error. My only hope in this election is that Liarry loses. Couldn't care much less about who wins, I just am sick and tired of Clinton's, Bushes and Powell's.


I have full confidence in Nate Silver. He successfully predicted 50 out of 50 state's outcomes in 2012 and 49 out of 50 in 2008 (missing only Indiana eight years ago). Nate and his operatives don't do any polling. He analyzes a variety of polls, grades them for credibility and predicts likeliness of a candidate of winning. Essentially smoothing out all of the data. He also nails Senate and Congressional races. The guy is genius and remarkably accurate considering all of the noise out there.

I check in at this link and click on the various states to look at their polling data to determine who he makes this conclusion on any given day:

How electoral votes by state will shape up

So yes, I actually do have an idea of who will win.

Did Nate Silver take into account the always reliable LVA Presidential Poll?

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Originally posted by: vegasdev
she shouldn't even be allowed to run for President.


Damn that pesky US Constitution!

Hillary is going to prison so there's that.
I love it at MSS!
Quote

Originally posted by: lvfritz
In the interest of being even handed, I post this one for all my leftist friends here.

To be honest, I have no idea who will win, and neither do you. But since Forkie "guarantees" a winner, I thought this would be a good place for an opposing view.

The poll that was the closest in the last three Presidential elections had Trump winning but it is in the margin of error. My only hope in this election is that Liarry loses. Couldn't care much less about who wins, I just am sick and tired of Clinton's, Bushes and Powell's.


I agree, anyone BUT the hill. I've really gone back and forth to voting for Trump or plain ol' not voting to show my apathy for this election,problem is I'm not apathetic when it comes to Hillary. I belive pretty much everyone has made up their mind and it would take a bombshell to change any of these folks minds at this point.

I am probably going to go ahead and vote DT at this point ,actually, let me correct that, I am going to go ahead and vote AGAINST the hill. I could possibly even vote for that dipstick Biden if he were in there instead of the hill.

After all is said and done, and the dust settles at the end of the day it boils down to the two who are pretty clear on their stances, ie, abortion, gun regulation, etc., etc. so that part is cut and dry. I then see trustworthiness, honesty and character as the biggest differences and what matters the most to me. In one corner is a brash megalomaniac who no doubt is a bit of a horndog and frankly somewhat frightens me, however I do believe he's a fairly honest person (prob too honest, it's partly what keeps getting him in trouble) and, I beleive, is honest to God interested in trying to get this once great country back on track. He's an extremely brash, forward,loudmouth, speaker and he not only means what he says and he truly believes in the message he's trying to get out. I will say his forward, anti-PC approach is refreshing from the usual poltical pandering to any particular audience, his message basically remins the same (unlike saying he'll put coal m iners OOB one week and flips the next to a different crowd). But again,he does somewhat scare the shit out of me, I dunno, maybe actual change scares me 'cause he could get in there meaning very well by shaking things up, BUT end up screwing the country with any of the bold crap he puts forth not to mention our intl. neighbors. Speaking of change, if one truly wants to see some things change in DC, this will probably be the last chance in a while to vote for someone, ANYONE not of the politics as usual, "establishment" we're all so used to. Another thing I don't like and scares me a little is "repeal and replace O-care" mantra. Replace with what? He's never said I don't think.

In the other corner is an extremely (politically)experienced woman who definitely knows her way around DC as well as Intl. waters (Lord knows she's soaked 'em well enough), and together with Bill have formed the most powerful political machine to come down the pike in a looong, long time ,BTW, half of this team has a bit 'O the horndog problem as well, dems don't seem bothered nearly as much by the impeached Bills issues as DT's women problems, go figger'. While some disagree, this duo also seems to be one of most corrupt machimes to come down the road in a looong, long time. Starting back at whitewater ( I know, they didn't get convicted, but plenty around them did) to present day illegal server issues, but they always seem to 'squeak' by, some (many would say) by corrupt influences. With out going into the too many issues at hand that should disqualify her as being eligible for the presidency, I'll just mention two biggeies. The hill perjured herself in front a congressional committee, AND A huge one, intentional destruction of evidence. I know, the IT guy had had an "OH SHIT' moment and realized he wasn't supposed to have deleted 30K of the hills emsails, I figured that was that, can't convict anyone for dipshittedness, BUT THEN it came to light that they used bleachbit software to get rid of all those yoga and wedding emails. at that point it then became intentional. I know the spinmeister and the village idiot will try and argue against this, but I see zero defense to it, not 30K plus anyway.

In the end, I beleive the hill really has zero interest in trying to help theis country with it's multitude of problems but only the furthering of the Clinton machine and democrats power and influence. I also think she's a pathological liar, remember this one? I mean lying for no reason, no reason at all? isn't that the definition of a pathological lie? Who does that?



“I remember landing under sniper fire. There was supposed to be some kind of a greeting ceremony at the airport, but instead we just ran with our heads down to get into the vehicles to get to our base.”

–Hillary Clinton, speech at George Washington University, March 17, 2008



As I said, my anti-Hillary vote does frighten me but I really would like to see someone (even an egotistical asshole) at least TRY to change Washington up some, even a little bit.Sscary part, will it actually do any good? or screw things up even worse? Or is that even possible? Either way, I just want it OVER WITH at this point.
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Originally posted by: alanleroyII
Did Nate Silver take into account the always reliable LVA Presidential Poll?
I recommended Nate Silver and fivethirtyeight.com to this forum in August 2008.

Sometimes it gets lonely being so far ahead of the curve.

Quote

Originally posted by: lvfritz
In the interest of being even handed, I post this one for all my leftist friends here.

To be honest, I have no idea who will win, and neither do you. But since Forkie "guarantees" a winner, I thought this would be a good place for an opposing view.

The poll that was the closest in the last three Presidential elections had Trump winning but it is in the margin of error. My only hope in this election is that Liarry loses. Couldn't care much less about who wins, I just am sick and tired of Clinton's, Bushes and Powell's.


You guys are entitled to your fantasies until the night of November 8th. Statistically, at this point, it is almost impossible for Trump to win. Some more opposition research is getting ready to drop too.
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