Hypothetical gambling question

Are single bets, regardless of size, ever worth anything in the comp world?

Ummm..... errrr.......

Using a single deck for simplicity,......

With 2 Aces known, and 1 Ten value known, there are 49 cards left in the deck.

15 have the value of Ten
34 have a value less than Ten.

Or, approximately 4 Tens and 9 "others" for every 13 cards.

The house gains a small percentage when "Even Money" is taken, which is why it is considered a "bad bet" by many knowledgeable BJ players.

Sorry, I'm too lazy to go to Wizard for the exact percentages, chart, etc.

Am I mistaken here??

However, the semantics of Don D's statement do appear true and correct.


AND, my "scenario" with the hypothetical bet included "favorable" rules, as I had been thinking of early surrender, although I do realize that finding it would be nearly impossible, if not totally impossible.

About the same chance as my getting 10K as a "hypothetical" free wager.

How about this. Craps
Go to a 100xOdds table. I believe nextshooter.com lists that only a few still exist.
Bet your own $100 on the pass line and hopefully a point is established. Then put the $10K on odds. $100x100 = $10000. This is of course if there is no table max. If this was me, I am sure the shooters next roll would be #out.

Not "one" wager.

RoadTrip is not mistaken.

The "Even Money" bet is, in fact, equivalent to taking insurance, so there is a slight house edge. That is, in the long-run the player will win 1½-units often enough to exceed what he will win taking the sure-thing 1-unit every time.

Therefore, if RoadTrip is accustomed to playing $10,000-per-hand regularly, a few thousand hands a day, maybe ½-million or so hands every year, or 8-to-10 million hands in a lifetime, . . . DonDiego recommends he stand on his natural and reject taking the insurance.
But if the $10,000 wager is unusually large for him, DonDiego recommends he take the sure-thing $10,000 win.

"Are single bets, regardless of size, ever worth anything in the comp world?"

I assume you thought I planned to parley the wager into a comp. That was not my plan. My fantasy upgrade depended upon either a win or a tie in the hand of Pai Gow. I would use the $10K and any winnings to actually pay for the upgrade, which I know is anathema to some here.

To answer your question, I assume a single wager of $10K is worth something, but doubt that $10K of action in any form is remotely close to being worth a suite upgrade and full food/beverage comp at a five-star hotel. $10K of theoretical loss is enough to get anyone's attention, but is very different from one losing $10K wager.

regarding the "craps" bet with the flat bet plus the 10-thousand as odds. Yes, this can be made as a SINGLE bet if the casino allows "put bets."

A "put bet" is a flat bet with odds made at ANY time -- IF the casino allows put bets.

Caesars allows put bets, but Caesars has 3x 4x 5x odds. I dont know if Casino Royale allows put bets but a phone call to their craps bit would get the answer very quickly. I also dont know their table limit. The one time I was there to watch a high roller friend, he was betting $5 DP with 100x odds and lost 25 grand in a couple of hours.

getting back to the "put bet" the BEST put bets to make are those on the 6 and 8 which are more likely to win than "put bets" on the 4 and 10 and 5 and 9.

Yeah yeah yeah... the math guys will argue that all odds have zero house advantage, but I am talking about winning. You are more likely to win with a "put bet" on the 6 and 8.

You do understand that my suggestion was in response to the OP in this thread and not a 'scenario' of yours that I was unaware of until you posted that my suggestion would not work with it, right?

Sorry you took it wrong. I had explained my scenario in the post immediately above your Kentucky post, so I figured that you had read it.