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Originally posted by: alanleroyIIQuote
Originally posted by: DonDiego
Quote
Originally posted by: alanleroyII
That would be cheating, wouldn't it?
Because the Lottery publishes the odds of possible winning combinations, DonDiego concludes it would be cheating.
Does changing the distribution of wining tickets really change the 'overall' odds of winning at the start of the game? It's the exact same number of possible winning combinations in total.
If the operators consistently end such games prematurely before a proportionate number of "grand prize tickets" are sold, yes.
And the results suggest the opportunity to do so occurred repeatedly; i.e. that "grand prize tickets" were rewarded disproportionately less often.
Poor old DonDiego suggests if the distribution of winning tickets later in the contest is significantly higher than the distribution of winning tickets in similar contests in other States, skullduggery is likely.
From the original post citation:
"For comparable big-prize games begun and ended in Illinois in the six years before Northstar was hired, the state awarded 87.5 percent of the grand prizes the games were designed to pay out.
That's in line with how other states have run their big-prize games.
The Tribune sought data from states with the highest sales of instant tickets. Six states provided enough data from recent years for comparison.
For grand prizes that cost lotteries $1 million or more to fund, New York awarded nearly 80 percent of them.
In Pennsylvania, it was 83 percent.
In Texas, it was 88 percent.
Florida, Massachusetts and Ohio each had a perfect record: 100 percent.
In Illinois, under Northstar, the rate was 59.6 percent."
Or maybe the Government of Illinois was just lucky. Over the years lots of Government employees in Illinois have gotten wealthy too. Perhaps the State Motto should be revised to "Luck is in the Air !"
Oh wait a minute ! It is not necessary to change the State Motto. Apparently one of the State's nicknames is "The Sucker State".
Ref: quotescoop.com