Nearing Completion of Evaluation of RS system (not)

I'd love to respond to this, but I don't know what you are trying to say. I'll try to cover the bases.

I am not good enough or qualified enough at math to comment on or dispute what the MATH NERDS website said on this. (They consists of mostly math professors).

If you are absolutely sure there is an error in their use and or application of Bayes' Theorem you really should take action. This is how it's being taught in our schools and text books. If there is an error you should bring it to their attention immediately.

I could find no fault in either their math, or the answers to the Two Girls Problem out of the book The Drunkards Walk. That doesn't mean there isn't one. I simply can't understand your objections, assuming you still have them.

Not really sure what the "Abracadabra" comment really meant. It would be easier if when making serious comments you did not use a metaphor. I know only one thing for sure. There is little point to us arguing over other people's words and ideas. You should take it up with the sources. Here I was but a messenger and not one qualified to comment on the contents of what I have carried. I ran the 26 miles to Marathon, told you the Athenians won, now it's time to die.

I do not take it personally that singer believes APs are all lying about their results. It is a plausible explanation, particularly where published AP's are concerned. He does not have access to the information I do (like team records) and he has made his assumptions based on the information he does have. It is not a stumbling point for us. In our conversations I told him that I can't support his conclusions and I offered to share with him some additional information, so he could draw more informed conclusions. As there is no way to prove this too him, he remains skeptical. I have no problem with a skeptical viewpoint and in fact encourage more of it. So I can hardly fault him doing what I advocate.

Of course it annoys me a little that he might think I'm lying about anything. But in the grand scheme of things it is a minor issue and nothing I'll lose sleep over. I understand his POV, for me this is enough.

I hope you are correct. I went out of my way not to make my book about MY SYSTEM. I wanted to share what I had learned and give people the tools they needed to make their own systems and improve their own judgments. I wanted to share Vegas history and I wanted to entertain. I also went out of my way to so accurately portray life as a VP pro, if anything it might discourage others from wasting their lives.

I pulled no punches and I certainly didn't glamorize the business to pump up my sales. For any of you that have read the book that are good at spotting omission, you may have noticed I kept results and talk of winning out of it. Since random chance plays so strong a factor in gambling, I felt any discussion of how I had actually done as a video poker professional would have been misplaced. I continue to find it distressing how much stock people put in results and how much people equate "winning" with having done something right.

If someone read and liked my book, the last thing I wanted them doing was following my advice based on how much money I had made. I hope this came through.

I believe I'm caught up on posts. I'll check in once a day. Meeting with Rob is supposed to be on the 10th. Since I do not know what he wants to talk about, I do not know how long this will delay the eval posting. When I know you will all know...and hay none of this is that important. It's just VP guys. The world and the human race would get along just fine without it. Try to remember that.

VP is a stupid game made up by a single guy about 3 decades ago and of no utility to the human race as a whole whatsoever. Get some perspective. It's a game, and too much discussion about it becomes pointless discussion on a pointless topic. Far as I'm concerned, "Nuke it from orbit, it's the only way to be sure".

After this I will be moving on to start a project to lobby for curriculum changes in our school system. Perhaps some of you would like to help? More on this later.

Wait a minute ! ! !

DonDiego's parents used to beat him while telling him that they loved him. Dad left the beating up to Mom; she used a switch from the lilac bush in the neighbor's yard. But she only switched him where it wouldn't show.

And DonDiego turned out jes' fine.

Of all the things I have ever said on this forum that I can think of off the top of my head, I cannot think of a worse one to use as a subject for humor. If true it is sad. If made up it is cruel to those for whom it is true.

This very type of parenting is not uncommon in America, and it is now understood to cause a host of emotional issues for the child that remain well into adulthood, if not for life. It is considered child abuse.

If you simply laughed at Don Deigo's comment, please ignore mine.

If you did not laugh at his comment because this struck too close to home for you, you have my deepest sympathies...and my apologies for using it as a metaphor in the first place. I don't consider many topics to be off limits when it comes to humor. Child abuse is one of them.

I don't want to come off as though I'm scolding Don Diego. I am not. He probably has little experience with emotionally disturbed children. I use to volunteer my time helping them, and know the seriousness of this problem only too well. Without my perspective, his comment probably seemed like an innocent joke to him. I'm merely trying to provide an alternative perspective. Most of the time I find his humor very refreshing and welcome it.

~FK

Was anyone going to tell me how to post a picture?

Or do I have to phrase it as an insult and create controversy to get action?

1. Pictures must be on the internet someplace in order to post them here.
2a. Find picture on internet. Copy its URL into your post. Put "img" in square brackets before and "/img" in square brackets after.
2b. Upload your picture to a site like photobucket.com or tinypic.com. Follow directions to the url code and then use the img and /img in square brackets as above.

Send a private message to Teechur. She has a good track record of helping people post pics for the first time.

Thanks. No wonder I couldn't figure it out. I do not post personal pictures or use those sites you mentioned, so I guess you'll not get to see my vacation pics. I'm also guessing no one cares.

Thanks.