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Originally posted by: snidely333Quote
Originally posted by: MoneyLA
Kaypea good point. One of the basics of the Singer system is to quit when you reach a win goal but only the APs can't understand that.
APs understand that. What they don't understand is why you would ever go back in a casino once you've reached that goal.
Well said snidely. I for one understand perfectly well what Alan is saying, he's simply using non-dictionary definitions of words like, "quitting" and "winning".
He defines "quitting" as: walking out of the casino for that day.
I would define "quitting" as: never playing again.
He defines "winning" as: A momentary upswing in cash that results in a refund of previous loses.
I define "winning" as: Being ahead money overall.
I translate his comment to mean: When I experience a predetermined refund of previous loses, or reach a self imposed limit to additional daily loses, I take a short break from playing.
Where the disconnect lies is that though we are able to see it from his perceptive, he does not seem able to see it from ours. What he calls winning and quiting we consider to be neither. I have tried and failed to explain it to him. I have further tried to explain to him that whether one takes a one second break between hands or goes home to sleep, the machine doesn't know the difference and the next hand starts back exactly where you left off, which is always in the middle of a series of independent random trials that only understands one form of "quitting", which is to never play again.
Now to defend Alan, science tells us that people's sense of time is very different from person to person and that some people regardless of intelligence simply cannot perceive, understand, or comprehend randomness. It is somewhat cultural and effected by environment, but it is mostly genetic. You will never succeed in explaining these types of concepts to people without the proper mental infrastructure to comprehend it.
Their perception of time and randomness is so different from ours it is literally beyond their comprehension or ours to see it from each others perspective. The problem is organic and related to brain structure. There is no need to think ill of Alan because he is different as he is actually in the majority. Some studies put his way of thinking at about 85% of the world wide population.
Being able to correctly understand randomness is actually a genetic mutation that makes one prone to Type II errors and from an evolutionary standpoint is poor for survival.