Nearing Completion of Evaluation of RS system (not)

I have, try again. And now we're back to non-sequiturs.

Like everything else, the closer you get to chaos, the easier it is to understand.

DonDiego hasn't experienced a Type II error since he successfully graduated from wearing diapers into big-boy pants. As poor old DonDiego enters the decrepitude of old age he occasionally encounters a brief Type I error, . . . which usually goes unnoticed by passers-by and sometimes even by DonDiego himself.

now i understand why i hate people so much. 85% of them are complete dumbass doofuses.

Umm, . . . that Depends, . . . .

Type I & Type II errors

You are walking in a field and hear a rustle in the grass. You think it is a tiger. You are wrong (it was the wind) and have made a Type I error, but manage to make it home for dinner and a little whoopie with the wifeakins. Life goes on!

You are walking in a field and hear a rustle in the grass. You think it is the wind. You are wrong, it was a tiger. You have made a Type II error, you are now lunch, gotten a Darwin award and successfully taken yourself out of the hominid gene pool. Congrats, and bye bye!

In this way Type I errors are reinforced and Type II errors are discouraged, due to the dynamics of natural selection. Only those prone to Type II errors understand randomness well, which requires not seeing connections where they do not exist. It is far more common to see patterns in all things, even when they are illusory. But here clarity of thought can be expensive when you miss a tiger.

References: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Type_I_and_type_II_errors

The Believing Brain by Michael Shermer

But the guy who made the type II error did make a connection where one did not exist. He connected a rustle in the grass with the wind. I think it would be more of a case where a rustle was heard and no conclusion was reached before dismissing the rustle.

What does one call a man with no arms or legs hidden in a pile of leaves?

ANS: Russell

I worded it badly. A Type II Error is not seeing a correct connection when it does exist. The key word here is "correct". You can make a Type I Error as well while making a Type II. You could also simply not notice the noise, which would be a pure Type II.

A Type I Error is seeing connections where they do not exist. Here you cannot be right ever, as there is no connection whatsoever. It is however less dangerous typically to see tiger in every bush, since some bushes really have tigers. You'll be wrong a lot with little penalty and right every now and then with hopefully less terminal results.