Quote
Originally posted by: mrmarcus12LVAQuote
Originally posted by: FrankKneeland 3.You gave modern day examples of situations where Type I & II errors might occur, which is amazingly off topic, since the field of evolutionary biology only covers things that would have occurred in the stone age or before, and indeed apply mostly to precursors of homo sapiens.
Oh, OK. You were talking about something COMPLETELY IRRELEVANT. My mistake was thinking you might be talking about something relevant (hence my use of the word hypothesis). My bad. Now, where were we?
Well where we were, at least for me, was wondering if you were planing on contributing anything useful to our discussion on evolutionary biology??? Of which the theory of causation for Type I & II errors is a subset.
I'm not exactly sure why you think stuff that happened long ago, would be completely irrelevant to a discussion on any subject containing the word "evolution", so I can only surmise that you never really understood exactly what the topic was. If that's my fault, let me state it now.
In modern society, scientists have discovered a strong tendency amongst humans for making Type I errors. It is believed this has a genetic cause, and they have isolated certain genes as strong contributing factors. The evolutionary biologists believe these genes come to us from a process of natural selection that favors Type I errors as a successful survival strategy in primitive times. In modern times this same legacy, that was once good for survival, is now behind much of the odd beliefs, conspiracy theorists, bizarre religions, gambler's fallacies, etc..., as our brains are now structured to see faces in the clouds--which may be less helpful as a way of thinking than it was to our ancestors, which paid more dearly than we do now for missing patterns.
A Missed fishing trip during the yearly salmon run today, is sad...well if you like fishing. But from a survival point of view, you were probably better off shopping at Wally World for your dinner. (as long as you don't drink an equal amount of beer for each endeavor: Drinking and fishing = good | drinking and driving = bad)
In ancient times, missing the yearly salmon run might have been the difference between survival or removing yourself from the gene pool. A few extra trips down to the creek to check, were better than none at all.
I understand that your post was probably just intended to be insulting. I'm trying to look past that and address why you thought such a comment was necessary. I keep hoping you'll see the connection between Type I errors and modern day gambling problems, where the seeds of yesterday have found all too fertile soil.
(And just meant to be humorous)
Of course, if you don't see the connection you're probably just prone to Type II errors.
Sincerely,
~FK
P.S. I did lose a $5 bet I had with my roommate that your next post was going to object to my Jesus quote and or Jesus himself, since he was a dead reference. I'd tired Mlodinow, and Einstein to no avail. Guess I know who to quote in the future when talking to you. Best part, Jesus said a lot of really good stuff that's usable even if one is not religious.