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Originally posted by: MoneyLA
Good for you Kaypea. I'm glad someone is getting that royal 1/47 times.
Me? I've played 165,000 hands since my last royal always using the strategy I learned from Dancer. I'm sure in the last year I've had four to the royal a hundred times. I had it three times last Wednesday night. Arc recounted how he had it some 220 times before he hit one.
Close. One year it was 208 and the next year it was 199. Of course, I've also hit on back-back 4RF attempts. This year I've hit once in 78 tries but last year I hit 4 out of 88.
We get dealt 4RF once every 2777 hands on average so Money should have had around 60 tries. Clearly, not a big deal to miss that many. Not even two cycles yet.
BTW, it would not be impossible to analyze Singer's system ... er method ... er how about the most descriptive ... CON. However, it would not be worth the effort since it's already obvious that it can have no effect on the results. It has be PROVEN mathematically that no betting strategy can change the return of games like VP. No one needs to spend a thousand hours to find out, gee I guess that proof was right. I've referenced the proof many times before.
https://www.bjmath.com/bjmath/progress/unfair.htm
It turns out that it is unlikely Singer himself follows the rules of the CON that he has laid out. Of course, no one really knows if he's ever played his CON. All we have the claims of a proven liar.