Quote
Originally posted by: malibber2
I think this thread would be more aptly named the problem with over dependence on oil. There is just as much corruption and shameless cronyism in the United States as there is in Venezuela.
Originally posted by: malibber2
I think this thread would be more aptly named the problem with over dependence on oil. There is just as much corruption and shameless cronyism in the United States as there is in Venezuela.
DonDiego concurs a reliance on petroleum exports played a role in the collapse of Venezuela. But even that was made worse by a Socialist Government intent on controlling everything within the Country instead of allowing markets to function so that its citizens might prosper.
Excerpts from Project-Syndicate.org
On oil:
"Venezuela used the 2004-2013 oil boom to quintuple its external public debt, instead of saving up for a rainy day. By 2013, Venezuela’s extravagant borrowing led international capital markets to shut it out, leading the authorities to print money. This caused the currency to lose 98% of its value in the last three years. By the time oil prices fell in 2014, the country was in no position to take the hit, with collapsing domestic production and capacity to import, leading to the current disaster."
This seems more like Government mismanagement than a collapse based upon the drop in oil prices. The Government spent its oil revenues as they came in and then borrowed against future revenues which failed to show up.
On free-markets vs Government price-setting:
". . . the market is essentially just a form of self-organization whereby everyone tries to earn a living by doing things that others find valuable. In most countries, people buy food, soap, and toilet paper without incurring a national policy nightmare, as has happened in Venezuela.
An alternative tradition, going back to Saint Thomas Aquinas, held that prices should be 'just.' Economics has shown that this is a really bad idea, because prices are the information system that creates incentives for suppliers and customers to decide what and how much to make or buy. Making prices 'just' nullifies this function, leaving the economy in perpetual shortage.
In Venezuela, the Law of Just Costs and Prices is one reason why farmers do not plant. For that reason, agro-processing firms shut down. More generally, price controls create incentives to flip goods into the black market. As a result, the country with the world’s most extensive system of price controls also has the highest inflation – as well as an ever-expanding police effort that jails retail managers for holding inventories and even closes the borders to prevent smuggling."
i.e. Control prices to "please the people", when farms go out of business, blame the farmers.
On expropriation:
"after former President Hugo Chávez was reelected in 2006, he expropriated farms, supermarkets, banks, telecoms, power companies, oil production and service firms, and manufacturing companies producing steel, cement, coffee, yogurt, detergent, and even glass bottles. Productivity collapsed in all of them."
i.e. After the farmers go out of business, because of price controls (or before since the Government is all powerful), seize the farms and any other productive assets "for the people". And then run everything into the ground.
Socialist/Communist Central Planning did not work for the Soviet Union; it did not work for Mao's China [one should look where China is now and ask oneself how it got here]; and it did not work in Venezuela.
DonDiego suggest the citizenry not grant a socialist in the USA too much power.
Incidentally, poor old DonDiego suggests the US media are under-reporting the collapse of Venezuela.
Folks in downtown Caracas last week were observed tearing open trash bags looking for any scraps of food they might find. This weekend bands of hungry people were waylaying trucks on the country's highways carrying bulk foodstuffs, like bags of rice, and meal.
DonDiego supposes June is likely to be unpleasant in Venezuela.
Excerpts from Project-Syndicate.org
On oil:
"Venezuela used the 2004-2013 oil boom to quintuple its external public debt, instead of saving up for a rainy day. By 2013, Venezuela’s extravagant borrowing led international capital markets to shut it out, leading the authorities to print money. This caused the currency to lose 98% of its value in the last three years. By the time oil prices fell in 2014, the country was in no position to take the hit, with collapsing domestic production and capacity to import, leading to the current disaster."
This seems more like Government mismanagement than a collapse based upon the drop in oil prices. The Government spent its oil revenues as they came in and then borrowed against future revenues which failed to show up.
On free-markets vs Government price-setting:
". . . the market is essentially just a form of self-organization whereby everyone tries to earn a living by doing things that others find valuable. In most countries, people buy food, soap, and toilet paper without incurring a national policy nightmare, as has happened in Venezuela.
An alternative tradition, going back to Saint Thomas Aquinas, held that prices should be 'just.' Economics has shown that this is a really bad idea, because prices are the information system that creates incentives for suppliers and customers to decide what and how much to make or buy. Making prices 'just' nullifies this function, leaving the economy in perpetual shortage.
In Venezuela, the Law of Just Costs and Prices is one reason why farmers do not plant. For that reason, agro-processing firms shut down. More generally, price controls create incentives to flip goods into the black market. As a result, the country with the world’s most extensive system of price controls also has the highest inflation – as well as an ever-expanding police effort that jails retail managers for holding inventories and even closes the borders to prevent smuggling."
i.e. Control prices to "please the people", when farms go out of business, blame the farmers.
On expropriation:
"after former President Hugo Chávez was reelected in 2006, he expropriated farms, supermarkets, banks, telecoms, power companies, oil production and service firms, and manufacturing companies producing steel, cement, coffee, yogurt, detergent, and even glass bottles. Productivity collapsed in all of them."
i.e. After the farmers go out of business, because of price controls (or before since the Government is all powerful), seize the farms and any other productive assets "for the people". And then run everything into the ground.
Socialist/Communist Central Planning did not work for the Soviet Union; it did not work for Mao's China [one should look where China is now and ask oneself how it got here]; and it did not work in Venezuela.
DonDiego suggest the citizenry not grant a socialist in the USA too much power.
Incidentally, poor old DonDiego suggests the US media are under-reporting the collapse of Venezuela.
Folks in downtown Caracas last week were observed tearing open trash bags looking for any scraps of food they might find. This weekend bands of hungry people were waylaying trucks on the country's highways carrying bulk foodstuffs, like bags of rice, and meal.
DonDiego supposes June is likely to be unpleasant in Venezuela.
