Vegas Free-for-All - Rio Roulette Wheel Hits Same Number 7 Straight Times

Rio Roulette Wheel Hits Same Number 7 Straight Times

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pjstroh

Jun 20, 2012
12:42pm

Block User

3 billion to 1? Those are better odds than me ever playing a table game at the RIO.

Dan Svatass

Jun 20, 2012
12:59pm

Block User

Cool, so it's still due to hit 7 19s in a row!

pearlguy

Jun 20, 2012
1:51pm

Block User

People ... it was NOT random spins.... there was NOBODY playing and a diagnostic test was being run !!!!!

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alexlifeson

Jun 20, 2012
2:01pm

Block User

Quote

Originally posted by: Chilcoot
No, it's 38 to the sixth power, not the seventh. 3.01 billion to one.

The first spin can be any one of 38 numbers, only the second spin establishes the run.

The odds of spinning 7 19s in a row are 114 billion to one. The odds of spinning 7 numbers in a row are 3.01 billion to one.

What's significant is that it was seven numbers in a row, not that it was seven 19s in a row. The story is just as interesting if it was seven 12s, or seven 31s, or seven 00s.

Yes, I was referring to seven 19's in a row but I totally agree that ANY number occuring seven times in a row has a probability of 38 * (1/38)^7 which equals (1/38)^6.

BobOrme

Jun 20, 2012
2:17pm

Block User

Quote

Originally posted by: alanleroy
Much ado about nothing.

From LVA Homepage...."According to a report posted in the Detroit News, a spokesman for Caesars Entertainment explained that "There was no one playing at that table. It was just a diagnostic test being done.""

That makes the odds pretty close to 1:1

chadley

Jun 20, 2012
3:25pm

Block User

IMHO the Sun screwed up on this one. They should have contacted the Rio before publishing the story. The "wheel readers" are tested frequently at most properties, thus it isn't unheard of to see a board like this on a closed table.

I suppose a good headline gets more hits (and revenue) than factual reporting.

Dan Svatass

Jun 20, 2012
4:23pm

Block User

Quote

Originally posted by: chadley
IMHO the Sun screwed up on this one. They should have contacted the Rio before publishing the story.

You should re-read the Sun's story, they did contact the Rio before publishing the story.

RoadTrip

Jun 20, 2012
10:31pm

Block User

Quote

Originally posted by: Chilcoot
The Las Vegas Sun has now updated its story to reflect that "the odds of it happening are 3 billion to 1."

The update, posted two hours ago, adds that "[T]he original version of the column cited incorrect odds as being 114 billion to one, which statistics experts have since noted were far longer than the single number 19 hitting seven times in a row."

So why are you mentioning an "update", yet have ignored the main item of interest in this inaccurate and misleading "news story", as the "reported results" were from a diagnostic test, not live gaming. And the information comment was posted at June 20, 2012, 11:14 a.m to inform the public in the comment section attached to the page?

Before "blaming" the Vegas Sun for sensationalism in it's writing and editing, perhaps one should look at the information they are providing and the semantics used to represent their point?