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Originally posted by: BAGIANT
I just don't see what this "contest" will prove one way or the other. If Rob uses his "regular" system, he will progress upwards until his 30 hours run out. He will hope to hit 4 Aces w/kicker or a royal somewhere along the line. If it comes early, he will hope to hang on until 30 hours is completed. If he hits them late, then he will get a boxcar payout, and depending how much he's stuck, will either makes him a winner or not. But I don't see what it will prove one way or the other. Anyone with a sizeable bankroll could attempt the same thing with varied results.
Originally posted by: BAGIANT
I just don't see what this "contest" will prove one way or the other. If Rob uses his "regular" system, he will progress upwards until his 30 hours run out. He will hope to hit 4 Aces w/kicker or a royal somewhere along the line. If it comes early, he will hope to hang on until 30 hours is completed. If he hits them late, then he will get a boxcar payout, and depending how much he's stuck, will either makes him a winner or not. But I don't see what it will prove one way or the other. Anyone with a sizeable bankroll could attempt the same thing with varied results.
As I stated earlier Singer will run through 5-10 different progressions in 30 hours depending on how fast he plays. If he decides to play through 6 levels as he has claimed, that means he's risking up to $57,500 on each one. If he lost two sessions he would need to make up between $60 - $100K in losses in his winning sessions. That would require several lucky hits at high denominations since his average win is more likely to be $6-7K or less.
What will the contest prove? Not much. We already know what the expectation will be but the variance is so high that the range of highly possible results is enormous.