Tough Investment Market

Quite awhile back the wife went to work for a large law firm that represents many public companies. Due to possible conflicts of interest, insider information and SEC rules I am only allowed to invest in the stock market through a blind trust. So instead of worrying about individual companies and market volatility I vet individual brokers like a professional sports team owner watches players.
Sometimes I believe I could do better but then I have much more free time without having to do all the diligence myself.
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Originally posted by: billryan
Macys has a twenty percent off sale, everyone is in a frenzy to buy.
Wall Street has a ten percent off sale and everyone is in in a frenzy to get out.

Quite aside from the likelihood that everyone isn't in a frenzy, . . . the difference is one can never be sure if the Wall Street sale will end or the sale will persist.

From CNN Money :
"The S&P 500 is down about 9% from its record highs of last year. The Dow and Nasdaq were down 10% from the highs on Thursday, officially falling into "correction" mode.
But lurking beneath the surface, the picture looks a lot worse. As of Friday [today] nearly half -- or 229 -- of the stocks in the S&P 500 have crumbled at least 20% below their 52-week highs, according to FactSet data."

[So the sale is already 20% for plenty of shareholders. - DD]

"But look at the signs of weakness in the broader S&P 1500, which includes small, medium and large-cap companies. The average stock in that index is down 25% from its high as of Friday, according to Bespoke Investment Group.
Small-cap stocks -- which are seen as more dangerous than their larger cousins -- are clearly getting hit a lot harder. The average small-cap stock is now down nearly 30% from its peak, putting it firmly in bear-market status."

[So the sale is already 30% for plenty of shareholders. - DD]

"And then there's energy. The dramatic decline in crude oil prices rocked the energy space. The average energy stock is now down a whopping 52% from its 52-week high, according to Bespoke. The only thing worse than that is small-cap energy, which is down 61%."

[So the sale is, . . . Holy-Moly small-cap energy is down 61% ! ! ! ]

And by the way, . . . the consensus within the CNN piece above is the economy is "humming along" and signals "no recession."

Never let a crisis go to waste. Many stocks are being beaten down because they are simply over-priced, but there are some damn good stocks on sale right now. The energy sector is a perfect example. One company I have is so beaten down , its yield is over 8% and its raised its dividend for 42 straight quarters. Unless one thinks oil will stay at present levels for the next two decades, it's a bit of a no brainer.
Quote

Originally posted by: billryan
Never let a crisis go to waste. Many stocks are being beaten down because they are simply over-priced, but there are some damn good stocks on sale right now. The energy sector is a perfect example. One company I have is so beaten down , its yield is over 8% and its raised its dividend for 42 straight quarters. Unless one thinks oil will stay at present levels for the next two decades, it's a bit of a no brainer.


Welcome back Billyryan! haha. I own a couple energy stocks and thinking the same.


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Originally posted by: billryan
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Originally posted by: eurotraveler
My JC Penney stock is the only one in my portfolio that has been up this week!




And yet you aren't going to sell everything else, and put all your money into JC Penny, right?
Unless you need your money in the next couple of years, weekly or monthly results shouldn't matter. Invest on a regular basis( dollar cost averaging)and you'll be fine.


Not doing anything this week - not a good idea to sell in a down market. When the dust settles it might be a good time to pick up a few things at very good prices.
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